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Recreativo Huelva v Rayo Vallecano

Recreativo Huelva
20:00Upcoming
Rayo Vallecano

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT · Nuevo Colombino

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Recreativo HuelvaDrawRayo Vallecano
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Rayo Vallecano 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rayo Vallecano are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Recreativo Huelva 12%, draw 22%, Rayo Vallecano 65%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Recreativo Huelva v Rayo VallecanoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Recreativo Huelva win12%
Draw22%
Rayo Vallecano win65%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueNuevo Colombino

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Recreativo Huelva

Rayo Vallecano

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 24 Oct · La Liga

4Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rayo vallecano winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Rayo Vallecano a 65% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Recreativo Huelva v Rayo Vallecano0.66 – 1.83

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 08:18
Our probability · Rayo Vallecano win

Published at 68%, 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Recreativo Huelva win12%––
Draw22%––
Rayo Vallecano win65%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Recreativo Huelva or draw35%––
Recreativo Huelva clean sheet16%––
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet52%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.8%
0123450 8.6 14.8 13.9 8.5 3.9 1 5.1 10.4 9.2 5.6 2.6 2 3.3 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Recreativo Huelva down, Rayo Vallecano across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

RECREATIVO HUELVA

No matches in our record yet.

RAYO VALLECANO

No matches in our record yet.