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Model 1.2

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Poblense v AD Ceuta FC

Poblense
18:00Upcoming
AD Ceuta FC

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PoblenseDrawAD Ceuta FC
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · AD Ceuta FC 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AD Ceuta FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Poblense 27%, draw 31%, AD Ceuta FC 43%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Poblense v AD Ceuta FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Poblense win27%
Draw31%
AD Ceuta FC win43%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Poblense

AD Ceuta FC

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ad ceuta fc winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make AD Ceuta FC a 43% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Poblense v AD Ceuta FC0.88 – 1.18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Poblense win27%––
Draw31%––
AD Ceuta FC win43%––
Over 2.5 goals34%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals62%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Poblense or draw57%––
Poblense clean sheet31%––
AD Ceuta FC clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.6%
0123450 13.2 14.6 8.9 3.5 1 10.7 13.7 7.8 3.1 2 4.9 5.8 3.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Poblense down, AD Ceuta FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

POBLENSE

No matches in our record yet.

AD CEUTA FC

No matches in our record yet.