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Model 1.2

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Peña Sport v Huesca

Peña Sport
18:00Upcoming
Huesca

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Peña SportDrawHuesca
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Huesca 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Huesca are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Peña Sport 8%, draw 16%, Huesca 76%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Peña Sport v HuescaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Peña Sport win8%
Draw16%
Huesca win76%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Peña Sport

Huesca

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · huesca winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
76% The market–
Us76%

We make Huesca a 76% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Peña Sport v Huesca0.60 – 2.33

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Huesca win

Published at 77%, 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Peña Sport win8%––
Draw16%––
Huesca win76%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Peña Sport or draw24%––
Peña Sport clean sheet10%––
Huesca clean sheet55%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 14.5%
0123450 5.6 12.2 14.5 11.2 6.5 3.01 3.0 7.7 8.7 6.8 3.9 2 2.2 2.6 2.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Peña Sport down, Huesca across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

PEÑA SPORT

No matches in our record yet.

HUESCA

No matches in our record yet.