Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Pamplona v Eibar

Back
Spain flag

Pamplona v Eibar

Pamplona
18:00Upcoming
Eibar

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT · Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PamplonaDrawEibar
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Eibar 88%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eibar are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pamplona 3%, draw 9%, Eibar 88%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on Pamplona v EibarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Pamplona win3%
Draw9%
Eibar win88%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueCampo de Futbol Beitikuntzea

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pamplona

Eibar

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eibar winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
88% The market–
Us88%

We make Eibar an 88% chance to win. The model expects 0.4–3.0, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pamplona v Eibar0.42 – 2.98

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
85%90% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 04:31
Our probability · Eibar win

Published at 87%, 88% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pamplona win3%––
Draw9%––
Eibar win88%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score33%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Pamplona or draw12%––
Pamplona clean sheet5%––
Eibar clean sheet66%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 14.8%
0123450 3.5 9.8 14.8 14.7 11.0 6.51 4.3 6.2 6.2 4.6 2.82 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pamplona down, Eibar across0–5 goals a side shown (91.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

PAMPLONA

No matches in our record yet.

EIBAR

No matches in our record yet.