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Model 1.2

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Numancia v Oviedo

Numancia
19:00Upcoming
Oviedo

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NumanciaDrawOviedo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Oviedo 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oviedo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Numancia 23%, draw 31%, Oviedo 46%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Numancia v OviedoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Numancia win23%
Draw31%
Oviedo win46%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Numancia

Oviedo

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oviedo winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Oviedo a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Numancia v Oviedo0.75 – 1.19

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Numancia win23%––
Draw31%––
Oviedo win46%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Numancia or draw54%––
Numancia clean sheet30%––
Oviedo clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 16.6%
0123450 14.8 16.6 10.2 4.0 1 10.3 13.3 7.6 3.0 2 4.0 4.8 2.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Numancia down, Oviedo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

NUMANCIA

No matches in our record yet.

OVIEDO

No matches in our record yet.