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Model 1.2

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Navalcarnero v Real Betis

Navalcarnero
20:00Upcoming
Real Betis

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NavalcarneroDrawReal Betis
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Real Betis 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Real Betis are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Navalcarnero 7%, draw 14%, Real Betis 78%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Navalcarnero v Real BetisBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Navalcarnero win7%
Draw14%
Real Betis win78%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Navalcarnero

Real Betis

4Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Champions League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real betis winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
78% The market–
Us78%

We make Real Betis a 78% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.7, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Navalcarnero v Real Betis0.72 – 2.65

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Navalcarnero win7%––
Draw14%––
Real Betis win78%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals43%––
Navalcarnero or draw22%––
Navalcarnero clean sheet7%––
Real Betis clean sheet49%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.1%
0123450 3.7 8.9 12.1 10.7 7.1 3.81 2.3 6.8 8.7 7.7 5.1 2.72 2.3 3.1 2.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Navalcarnero down, Real Betis across0–5 goals a side shown (94.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

NAVALCARNERO

No matches in our record yet.

REAL BETIS

No matches in our record yet.