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Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén

Mijas Las Lagunas
19:00Upcoming
Real Jaén

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mijas Las LagunasDrawReal Jaén
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Real Jaén 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Real Jaén are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mijas Las Lagunas 31%, draw 28%, Real Jaén 41%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Mijas Las Lagunas v Real JaénBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Mijas Las Lagunas win31%
Draw28%
Real Jaén win41%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mijas Las Lagunas

Real Jaén

4Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real jaén winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Real Jaén a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén1.13 – 1.34

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mijas Las Lagunas win31%––
Draw28%––
Real Jaén win41%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Mijas Las Lagunas or draw59%––
Mijas Las Lagunas clean sheet26%––
Real Jaén clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 8.9 10.9 7.6 3.4 1 9.1 13.2 8.6 3.8 2 5.4 7.3 4.9 2.2 3 2.0 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mijas Las Lagunas down, Real Jaén across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsMIJ 3–0 REA · REA 1–1 MIJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

MIJAS LAS LAGUNAS

No matches in our record yet.

REAL JAÉN

No matches in our record yet.