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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Manresa v Sant Andreu

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Manresa v Sant Andreu

Manresa
19:30Upcoming
Sant Andreu

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ManresaDrawSant Andreu
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Sant Andreu 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sant Andreu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Manresa 27%, draw 27%, Sant Andreu 46%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Manresa v Sant AndreuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Manresa win27%
Draw27%
Sant Andreu win46%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Manresa

Sant Andreu

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sant andreu winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Sant Andreu a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Manresa v Sant Andreu1.06 – 1.44

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Sant Andreu win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Manresa win27%––
Draw27%––
Sant Andreu win46%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Manresa or draw54%––
Manresa clean sheet24%––
Sant Andreu clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%
0123450 8.6 11.4 8.6 4.1 1 8.2 12.9 9.0 4.4 2 4.6 6.6 4.8 2.3 3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Manresa down, Sant Andreu across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsSAN 0–0 MAN · MAN 1–1 SAN · MAN 4–0 SAN · SAN 1–1 MAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

MANRESA

No matches in our record yet.

SANT ANDREU

No matches in our record yet.