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Llanera v Ponferradina

Llanera
19:00Upcoming
Ponferradina

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LlaneraDrawPonferradina
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Ponferradina 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ponferradina are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Llanera 17%, draw 27%, Ponferradina 55%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Llanera v PonferradinaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Llanera win17%
Draw27%
Ponferradina win55%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Llanera

Ponferradina

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ponferradina winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make Ponferradina a 55% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Llanera v Ponferradina0.70 – 1.47

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 23:51
Our probability · Ponferradina win

Published at 56%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Llanera win17%––
Draw27%––
Ponferradina win55%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Llanera or draw45%––
Llanera clean sheet23%––
Ponferradina clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 16.4%
0123450 11.8 16.4 12.3 6.0 2.2 1 7.6 12.1 8.6 4.2 2 2.8 4.1 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Llanera down, Ponferradina across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

LLANERA

No matches in our record yet.

PONFERRADINA

No matches in our record yet.