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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Laredo v Burgos

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Laredo v Burgos

Laredo
19:00Upcoming
Burgos

Copa del Rey · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LaredoDrawBurgos
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Burgos 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Burgos are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Laredo 6%, draw 18%, Burgos 76%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Laredo v BurgosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Laredo win6%
Draw18%
Burgos win76%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Laredo

Burgos

12Days since last match11

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · burgos winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
76% The market–
Us76%

We make Burgos a 76% chance to win. The model expects 0.4–2.1, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Laredo v Burgos0.44 – 2.09

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Burgos win

Published at 75%, 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Laredo win6%––
Draw18%––
Burgos win76%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score31%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Laredo or draw24%––
Laredo clean sheet12%––
Burgos clean sheet65%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 17.5%
0123450 8.2 16.4 17.5 12.2 6.4 2.71 3.2 7.5 7.6 5.3 2.8 2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Laredo down, Burgos across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

LAREDO

No matches in our record yet.

BURGOS

No matches in our record yet.