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Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon

Guijuelo
19:00Upcoming
Sporting Gijon

Copa del Rey · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GuijueloDrawSporting Gijon
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Sporting Gijon 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sporting Gijon are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Guijuelo 11%, draw 21%, Sporting Gijon 68%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Guijuelo v Sporting GijonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Guijuelo win11%
Draw21%
Sporting Gijon win68%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Guijuelo

Sporting Gijon

11Days since last match12

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last match: 17 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting gijon winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
68% The market–
Us68%

We make Sporting Gijon a 68% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–2.0, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon0.65 – 1.97

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Sporting Gijon win

Published at 67%, 68% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Guijuelo win11%––
Draw21%––
Sporting Gijon win68%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Guijuelo or draw32%––
Guijuelo clean sheet14%––
Sporting Gijon clean sheet52%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 14.2%
0123450 7.6 14.1 14.2 9.3 4.6 1 4.4 9.6 9.2 6.0 3.0 2 3.0 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Guijuelo down, Sporting Gijon across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsGUI 0–3 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

GUIJUELO

No matches in our record yet.

SPORTING GIJON

No matches in our record yet.