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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense

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Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense

Gimnástica Torrelavega
19:30Upcoming
UD Ourense

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Gimnástica TorrelavegaDrawUD Ourense
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · UD Ourense 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with UD Ourense just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Gimnástica Torrelavega 33%, draw 30%, UD Ourense 37%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD OurenseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Gimnástica Torrelavega win33%
Draw30%
UD Ourense win37%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gimnástica Torrelavega

UD Ourense

10Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ud ourense winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make UD Ourense a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense1.07 – 1.14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 06:19
Our probability · UD Ourense win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gimnástica Torrelavega win33%––
Draw30%––
UD Ourense win37%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Gimnástica Torrelavega or draw63%––
Gimnástica Torrelavega clean sheet32%––
UD Ourense clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%
0123450 11.4 12.1 7.1 2.7 1 11.3 13.8 7.6 2.9 2 6.3 7.2 4.1 3 2.2 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gimnástica Torrelavega down, UD Ourense across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

GIMNÁSTICA TORRELAVEGA

No matches in our record yet.

UD OURENSE

No matches in our record yet.