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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Don Benito v Extremadura 1924

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Don Benito v Extremadura 1924

Don Benito
19:30Upcoming
Extremadura 1924

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Don BenitoDrawExtremadura 1924
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Extremadura 1924 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Extremadura 1924 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Don Benito 31%, draw 26%, Extremadura 1924 42%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Don Benito v Extremadura 1924Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Don Benito win31%
Draw26%
Extremadura 1924 win42%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Don Benito

Extremadura 1924

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · extremadura 1924 winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Extremadura 1924 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Don Benito v Extremadura 19241.24 – 1.48

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Extremadura 1924 win

Published at 40%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Don Benito win31%––
Draw26%––
Extremadura 1924 win42%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Don Benito or draw58%––
Don Benito clean sheet23%––
Extremadura 1924 clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 6.9 9.3 7.2 3.6 1 7.7 12.5 9.0 4.4 2 5.1 7.5 5.6 2.8 3 2.1 3.1 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Don Benito down, Extremadura 1924 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

DON BENITO

No matches in our record yet.

EXTREMADURA 1924

No matches in our record yet.