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Deportiva Minera v FC Cartagena

Deportiva Minera
19:30Upcoming
FC Cartagena

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Deportiva MineraDrawFC Cartagena
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Deportiva Minera 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Deportiva Minera just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Deportiva Minera 35%, draw 32%, FC Cartagena 34%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Deportiva Minera v FC CartagenaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Deportiva Minera win35%
Draw32%
FC Cartagena win34%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deportiva Minera

FC Cartagena

4Days since last match12

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Last match: 16 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportiva minera winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
35% The market–
Us35%

We make Deportiva Minera a 35% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Deportiva Minera v FC Cartagena1.02 – 1.00

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Deportiva Minera win

Published at 33%, 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Deportiva Minera win35%––
Draw32%––
FC Cartagena win34%––
Over 2.5 goals33%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals60%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Deportiva Minera or draw66%––
Deportiva Minera clean sheet37%––
FC Cartagena clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%
0123450 13.7 12.9 6.7 2.2 1 13.0 14.0 6.8 2.3 2 6.8 6.9 3.5 3 2.3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Deportiva Minera down, FC Cartagena across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

DEPORTIVA MINERA

No matches in our record yet.

FC CARTAGENA

No matches in our record yet.