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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Cuarte v Girona

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Cuarte v Girona

Cuarte
17:30Upcoming
Girona

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT · Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CuarteDrawGirona
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Girona 80%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Girona are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cuarte 5%, draw 15%, Girona 80%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Cuarte v GironaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Cuarte win5%
Draw15%
Girona win80%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:30

RoundRound of 128

VenueEstadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cuarte

Girona

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · girona winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
80% The market–
Us80%

We make Girona an 80% chance to win. The model expects 0.4–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cuarte v Girona0.44 – 2.31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 23:51
Our probability · Girona win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cuarte win5%––
Draw15%––
Girona win80%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score32%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Cuarte or draw20%––
Cuarte clean sheet10%––
Girona clean sheet64%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 17.1%
0123450 6.6 14.5 17.1 13.2 7.6 3.51 2.6 6.7 7.5 5.8 3.3 2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cuarte down, Girona across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

CUARTE

No matches in our record yet.

GIRONA

No matches in our record yet.