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Covadonga v Valladolid
CovadongaValladolidCopa del Rey · WED 28 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Valladolid are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Covadonga 16%, draw 21%, Valladolid 63%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Covadonga win16%Valladolid win63%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00
RoundRound of 128
Match timeline
All events
CovadongaMINValladolidEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Covadonga
Valladolid
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 23 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Valladolid a 63% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.0, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 61%, 63% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Covadonga win | 16% | – | – |
| Draw | 21% | – | – |
| Valladolid win | 63% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – | – |
| Covadonga or draw | 37% | – | – |
| Covadonga clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Valladolid clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Copa del Rey this season
COVADONGA
No matches in our record yet.
VALLADOLID
No matches in our record yet.