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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Coruxo v Zamora

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Coruxo v Zamora

Coruxo
18:00Upcoming
Zamora

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CoruxoDrawZamora
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Zamora 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zamora are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Coruxo 24%, draw 30%, Zamora 46%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Coruxo v ZamoraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Coruxo win24%
Draw30%
Zamora win46%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Coruxo

Zamora

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zamora winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Zamora a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Coruxo v Zamora0.84 – 1.27

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Zamora win

Published at 45%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Coruxo win24%––
Draw30%––
Zamora win46%––
Over 2.5 goals35%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals63%––
Over 3.5 goals16%––
Coruxo or draw54%––
Coruxo clean sheet28%––
Zamora clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.0%
0123450 12.5 15.0 9.8 4.1 1 9.8 13.4 8.2 3.5 2 4.3 5.4 3.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Coruxo down, Zamora across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsCOR 1–2 ZAM · ZAM 2–0 COR · COR 1–1 ZAM · ZAM 1–0 COR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

CORUXO

No matches in our record yet.

ZAMORA

No matches in our record yet.