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Model 1.2

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Conquense v Castellón

Conquense
19:00Upcoming
Castellón

Copa del Rey · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ConquenseDrawCastellón
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Castellón 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Castellón are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Conquense 17%, draw 23%, Castellón 60%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Conquense v CastellónBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Conquense win17%
Draw23%
Castellón win60%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Conquense

Castellón

11Days since last match12

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 17 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · castellón winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
60% The market–
Us60%

We make Castellón a 60% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Conquense v Castellón0.85 – 1.83

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Conquense win17%––
Draw23%––
Castellón win60%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Conquense or draw40%––
Conquense clean sheet16%––
Castellón clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.2%
0123450 7.2 12.2 11.5 7.0 3.2 1 5.5 11.0 9.8 6.0 2.7 2 2.5 4.5 4.1 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Conquense down, Castellón across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

CONQUENSE

No matches in our record yet.

CASTELLÓN

No matches in our record yet.