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Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda

Ciudad de Lucena
19:00Upcoming
Rayo Majadahonda

Copa del Rey · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ciudad de LucenaDrawRayo Majadahonda
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Ciudad de Lucena 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ciudad de Lucena are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ciudad de Lucena 45%, draw 31%, Rayo Majadahonda 25%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo MajadahondaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ciudad de Lucena win45%
Draw31%
Rayo Majadahonda win25%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ciudad de Lucena

Rayo Majadahonda

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ciudad de lucena winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Ciudad de Lucena a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda1.21 – 0.82

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ciudad de Lucena win45%––
Draw31%––
Rayo Majadahonda win25%––
Over 2.5 goals33%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals61%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Ciudad de Lucena or draw75%––
Ciudad de Lucena clean sheet44%––
Rayo Majadahonda clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%
0123450 13.5 10.3 4.4 1 15.4 13.5 5.3 2 9.6 7.9 3.2 3 3.9 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ciudad de Lucena down, Rayo Majadahonda across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

CIUDAD DE LUCENA

No matches in our record yet.

RAYO MAJADAHONDA

No matches in our record yet.