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Model 1.2

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Calvo Sotelo v Albacete

Calvo Sotelo
19:00Upcoming
Albacete

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Calvo SoteloDrawAlbacete
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Albacete 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Albacete are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Calvo Sotelo 14%, draw 23%, Albacete 63%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Calvo Sotelo v AlbaceteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Calvo Sotelo win14%
Draw23%
Albacete win63%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Calvo Sotelo

Albacete

10Days since last match11

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last match: 17 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · albacete winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Albacete a 63% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Calvo Sotelo v Albacete0.73 – 1.84

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Calvo Sotelo win14%––
Draw23%––
Albacete win63%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Calvo Sotelo or draw37%––
Calvo Sotelo clean sheet16%––
Albacete clean sheet48%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.8%
0123450 8.1 13.8 13.0 7.9 3.6 1 5.3 10.6 9.4 5.8 2.7 2 2.0 3.7 3.4 2.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Calvo Sotelo down, Albacete across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

CALVO SOTELO

No matches in our record yet.

ALBACETE

No matches in our record yet.