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Model 1.2

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Badajoz v Tenerife

Badajoz
19:00Upcoming
Tenerife

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BadajozDrawTenerife
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Tenerife 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tenerife are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Badajoz 22%, draw 31%, Tenerife 47%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Badajoz v TenerifeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Badajoz win22%
Draw31%
Tenerife win47%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Badajoz

Tenerife

10Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 19 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tenerife winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Tenerife a 47% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Badajoz v Tenerife0.72 – 1.20

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Tenerife win

Published at 48%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Badajoz win22%––
Draw31%––
Tenerife win47%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Badajoz or draw53%––
Badajoz clean sheet30%––
Tenerife clean sheet49%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 17.2%
0123450 15.1 17.2 10.5 4.2 1 10.2 13.1 7.6 3.0 2 3.8 4.6 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Badajoz down, Tenerife across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

BADAJOZ

No matches in our record yet.

TENERIFE

No matches in our record yet.