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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Atlético Baleares v Eldense

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Atlético Baleares v Eldense

Atlético Baleares
18:00Upcoming
Eldense

Copa del Rey · THU 29 OCT · Estadio Balear

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atlético BalearesDrawEldense
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Eldense 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eldense are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlético Baleares 29%, draw 27%, Eldense 44%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Atlético Baleares v EldenseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Atlético Baleares win29%
Draw27%
Eldense win44%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueEstadio Balear

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlético Baleares

Eldense

11Days since last match11

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eldense winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
44% The market–
Us44%

We make Eldense a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Atlético Baleares v Eldense1.15 – 1.47

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Atlético Baleares win29%––
Draw27%––
Eldense win44%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Atlético Baleares or draw56%––
Atlético Baleares clean sheet23%––
Eldense clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 7.7 10.4 7.9 3.9 1 8.0 12.7 9.0 4.4 2 4.8 7.1 5.2 2.5 3 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Atlético Baleares down, Eldense across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsELD 2–1 ATL · ATL 3–1 ELD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

ATLÉTICO BALEARES

No matches in our record yet.

ELDENSE

No matches in our record yet.