Antequera v Águilas prediction · Copa del Rey

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AntequeraDrawÁguilas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Antequera 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Antequera are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Antequera 45%, draw 29%, Águilas 26%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Antequera v ÁguilasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Antequera win45%

Draw29%

Águilas win26%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Antequera

Águilas

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · antequera winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Antequera a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Antequera v Águilas~~1.31 – 0.92

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Antequera win	45%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Águilas win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Antequera or draw	74%	–	–
Antequera clean sheet	40%	–	–
Águilas clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%

0123450 11.1 9.4 4.5 1 13.6 13.4 6.0 2 9.2 8.5 3.9 3 4.0 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Antequera down, Águilas across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 637 leagues on one scale, from the 408,565 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 23 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Antequera play in Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Águilas in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Antequera are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Antequera, 0.92 for Águilas. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

ANTEQUERA

No matches in our record yet.

ÁGUILAS

No matches in our record yet.

Antequera v Águilas

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Antequera

Águilas

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Copa del Rey this season