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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Amorebieta v UD Logroñés

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Amorebieta v UD Logroñés

Amorebieta
19:00Upcoming
UD Logroñés

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT · Campo Municipal de Urritxe

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AmorebietaDrawUD Logroñés
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · UD Logroñés 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

UD Logroñés are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Amorebieta 28%, draw 29%, UD Logroñés 43%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Amorebieta v UD LogroñésBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Amorebieta win28%
Draw29%
UD Logroñés win43%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueCampo Municipal de Urritxe

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Amorebieta

UD Logroñés

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ud logroñés winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make UD Logroñés a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Amorebieta v UD Logroñés0.99 – 1.31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Amorebieta win28%––
Draw29%––
UD Logroñés win43%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Amorebieta or draw57%––
Amorebieta clean sheet28%––
UD Logroñés clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%
0123450 11.2 12.4 8.6 3.8 1 9.2 13.4 8.2 3.6 2 4.9 6.3 4.1 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Amorebieta down, UD Logroñés across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsUDL 4–1 AMO · AMO 2–1 UDL · AMO 1–0 UDL · UDL 1–1 AMO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

AMOREBIETA

No matches in our record yet.

UD LOGROÑÉS

No matches in our record yet.