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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Copa del Rey › Alcoyano v Mallorca

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Alcoyano v Mallorca

Alcoyano
19:00Upcoming
Mallorca

Copa del Rey · WED 28 OCT · Estadio El Collao

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AlcoyanoDrawMallorca
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Mallorca 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mallorca are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Alcoyano 14%, draw 30%, Mallorca 56%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 28%.

The AI’s read on Alcoyano v MallorcaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Alcoyano win14%
Draw30%
Mallorca win56%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 128

VenueEstadio El Collao

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Alcoyano

Mallorca

17Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Last match: 24 Oct · the Spanish Segunda División

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mallorca winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Mallorca a 56% chance to win. The model expects 0.5–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Alcoyano v Mallorca0.49 – 1.28

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Alcoyano win14%––
Draw30%––
Mallorca win56%––
Over 2.5 goals26%––
Both teams to score28%––
Over 1.5 goals53%––
Over 3.5 goals10%––
Alcoyano or draw44%––
Alcoyano clean sheet28%––
Mallorca clean sheet61%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 21.4%
0123450 17.3 21.4 14.0 6.0 1 8.0 11.0 6.8 2.9 2 2.0 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Alcoyano down, Mallorca across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa del Rey this season

ALCOYANO

No matches in our record yet.

MALLORCA

No matches in our record yet.