Suwon FMC W v Boeun Sangmu W prediction · WK-League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Suwon FMC WDrawBoeun Sangmu W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Suwon FMC W 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Suwon FMC W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Suwon FMC W 58%, draw 24%, Boeun Sangmu W 19%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Suwon FMC W v Boeun Sangmu WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Suwon FMC W win58%

Draw24%

Boeun Sangmu W win19%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 27

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Suwon FMC W

Boeun Sangmu W

21Days since last match21

Last match: 7 Oct · WK-League

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suwon fmc w winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Suwon FMC W a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Suwon FMC W v Boeun Sangmu W~~1.83 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in WK-League this season · since 21 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 59 v 36~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Suwon FMC W win	58%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Boeun Sangmu W win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Suwon FMC W or draw	81%	–	–
Suwon FMC W clean sheet	40%	–	–
Boeun Sangmu W clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 7.2 5.4 2.8 1 11.1 11.2 5.0 2 10.5 9.5 4.4 3 6.4 5.8 2.7 4 3.0 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Suwon FMC W down, Boeun Sangmu W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 597 WK-League matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: WK-League matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.5% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Suwon FMC W at home: 2.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Boeun Sangmu W away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Suwon FMC W, 0.93 for Boeun Sangmu W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SUW 3–1 BOE · BOE 0–2 SUW · BOE 1–3 SUW · SUW 2–1 BOE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in WK-League this season · since 21 Aug

SUWON FMC W

WWLWWL3–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

BOEUN SANGMU W

WLWDWL2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Suwon FMC W	26	+38	59
2	Hwacheon KSPO W	28	+25	55
3	Seoul W	27	−9	37
4	Boeun Sangmu W	26	−6	36
5	Gyeongju W	26	+4	34
6	Gumi Sportstoto W	27	−8	33
7	Incheon Red Angels W	26	−17	24
8	Changnyeong W	26	−27	18