Home › Football › K3 League › Daejeon Korail v Dangjin Citizen
Daejeon Korail v Dangjin Citizen
K3 League · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Daejeon Korail win at 53%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Daejeon Korail was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Daejeon Korail v Dangjin Citizen
- 45′SECOND HALF Daejeon Korail 0–0 Dangjin Citizen
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Daejeon Korail win: 53% at kick-off, 42% now
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 90' Daejeon Korail 0–0 Dangjin Citizen
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Daejeon Korail 0–1 Dangjin Citizen
- FTFULL TIME Daejeon Korail 0–1 Dangjin Citizen
- FTDaejeon Korail 0–1 Dangjin Citizen · Daejeon Korail win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 11:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Daejeon Korail a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.3.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 55% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Korail win | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Dangjin Citizen win | 25% | 20% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 53% | +9 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 53% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 76% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 32% | +8 |
| Daejeon Korail or draw | 75% | 80% | −5 |
| Daejeon Korail clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Dangjin Citizen clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2022Form · last six in K3 League
DAEJEON KORAIL
DANGJIN CITIZEN
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Siheung Citizen | 23 | +17 | 55 |
| 2 |  Pocheon | 23 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | +15 | 41 |
| 4 |  Busan Transportation | 23 | +11 | 37 |
| 5 |  Gyeongju HNP | 23 | +4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | +7 | 31 |
| 7 |  Chuncheon | 23 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 |  Changwon City | 23 | −2 | 29 |
| 9 |  Yeoju Sejong | 23 | −3 | 28 |
| 10 |  Ulsan Citizen | 24 | −3 | 28 |
| 11 |  Gangneung City | 23 | −11 | 27 |
| 12 |  Mokpo City | 23 | −14 | 24 |
| 13 |  Yangpyeong | 24 | −16 | 20 |
| 14 |  Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | −28 | 10 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.