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Suwon Bluewings v Hwaseong
Suwon Bluewings
HwaseongK League 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Suwon World Cup Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Suwon Bluewings win at 49%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Suwon Bluewings v Hwaseong
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Suwon Bluewings 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–27–25
- 18′We said Suwon Bluewings at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–8
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Suwon Bluewings 1–0 Hwaseong
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Suwon Bluewings win: 49% at kick-off, 76% now
- 19′Suwon Bluewings score on 19′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
- 21′We said Suwon Bluewings at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Suwon Bluewings 2–0 Hwaseong
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Suwon Bluewings win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
- 22′Suwon Bluewings find the net on 21′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Hwaseong
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Hwaseong
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Suwon Bluewings
- 35′A goal for Hwaseong on 35′. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 38′L. Pllana scores for Hwaseong on 37′. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 35' L. Pllana · Hwaseong
- 41′We said Suwon Bluewings at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Suwon Bluewings 3–0 Hwaseong
- 45′SECOND HALF Suwon Bluewings 3–0 Hwaseong
- 46′A goal for Suwon Bluewings on 45′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Yang Si-Hoo · Hwaseong
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Lee Jung-Hyo · Suwon Bluewings
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hwaseong · On: S. Jeon · Off: Lee Jong-Sung
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hwaseong · On: Choi Myung-Hee · Off: Yang Si-Hoo
- 51′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Suwon Bluewings 3–0 Hwaseong
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Suwon Bluewings win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- 54′We said Suwon Bluewings at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Hwaseong
- 58′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–3–0
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Suwon Bluewings 3–1 Hwaseong
- 59′Hwaseong score on 59′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 97–3–0
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Hwaseong · On: S. Petrov · Off: Kim Byung-Oh
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Hwaseong
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Suwon Bluewings · On: E. Dubickas · Off: Kang Hyun-Muk
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Suwon Bluewings · On: Kim Joo-Chan · Off: K. Lebon
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Suwon Bluewings · On: Park Hyun-Bin · Off: Kim Min-Woo
- 73′We said Suwon Bluewings at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 3–2 · 87–12–1
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Suwon Bluewings · On: Bruno Costa · Off: L. Mina
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Suwon Bluewings 3–2 Hwaseong
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Suwon Bluewings win: 49% at kick-off, 87% now
- 74′Hwaseong find the net on 74′. 3–2. 3–2 · 87–12–1
- 75′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 88–11–1
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Suwon Bluewings · On: Mo Kyung-bin · Off: Han Hyeon-Seo Corrected
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Hwaseong · On: S. Ilyuchenko · Off: L. Pllana
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Hwaseong · On: Son Seung-Beom · Off: Jegal Jae-Min
- 90′3–2 at the end. Our 49% on Suwon Bluewings comes in. 3–2 · 100–0–0
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Suwon Bluewings win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Suwon Bluewings 3–2 Hwaseong
- FTSuwon Bluewings 3–2 Hwaseong · Suwon Bluewings win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Suwon Bluewings are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Suwon Bluewings 49%, draw 27%, Hwaseong 25%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Suwon Bluewings win49%
Hwaseong win25%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueSuwon World Cup Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Suwon BluewingsMIN
HwaseongEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Suwon Bluewings
Hwaseong
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Suwon Bluewings
Hwaseong
Last match: 11 Oct · K League 2
Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Suwon Bluewings
Formation not confirmed
30 J. Kim
27 Lee Geon-hee
5 Ko Jong-hyun
66 Han Hyeon-Seo
92 Lee Sang-min
22 Kang Seong-Jin
23 Kim Min-Woo
14 Jung Ho-yeon
8 K. Lebon
70 L. Mina
17 Kang Hyun-Muk
Coach · Jung-Hyo Lee
Substitutes
1 · Kim Min-Jun
20 · Hong Jeong-Ho
3 · Mo Kyung-bin
11 · Lee Jun-Jae
16 · Park Hyun-Bin
19 · Kim Seong-Ju
98 · E. Dubickas
37 · Kim Joo-Chan
58 · Bruno Costa
Hwaseong
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Kim
44 Ham Sun-Woo
97 Lee Rae-Jun
15 A. Vojnovic
20 Park Jun-seo
5 Yang Si-Hoo
92 Lee Jong-Sung
22 D. Kim
11 L. Pllana
14 Kim Byung-Oh
7 Jegal Jae-Min
Coach · Du-Ri Cha
Substitutes
38 · E. Park
24 · Choi Ye-Hoon
2 · C. Lim
6 · Kim Jung-Min
16 · Choi Myung-Hee
8 · S. Jeon
29 · Son Seung-Beom
90 · S. Ilyuchenko
9 · S. Petrov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Suwon Bluewings
Formation not confirmed
30 J. Kim
27 Lee Geon-hee
5 Ko Jong-hyun
66 Han Hyeon-Seo
92 Lee Sang-min
22 Kang Seong-Jin
23 Kim Min-Woo
14 Jung Ho-yeon
8 K. Lebon
70 L. Mina
17 Kang Hyun-Muk
Coach · Jung-Hyo Lee
Substitutes
1 · Kim Min-Jun
20 · Hong Jeong-Ho
3 · Mo Kyung-bin
11 · Lee Jun-Jae
16 · Park Hyun-Bin
19 · Kim Seong-Ju
98 · E. Dubickas
37 · Kim Joo-Chan
58 · Bruno Costa
Hwaseong
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Kim
44 Ham Sun-Woo
97 Lee Rae-Jun
15 A. Vojnovic
20 Park Jun-seo
5 Yang Si-Hoo
92 Lee Jong-Sung
22 D. Kim
11 L. Pllana
14 Kim Byung-Oh
7 Jegal Jae-Min
Coach · Du-Ri Cha
Substitutes
38 · E. Park
24 · Choi Ye-Hoon
2 · C. Lim
6 · Kim Jung-Min
16 · Choi Myung-Hee
8 · S. Jeon
29 · Son Seung-Beom
90 · S. Ilyuchenko
9 · S. Petrov
We make Suwon Bluewings a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon Bluewings win | 49% | 56% | −7 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3 |
| Hwaseong win | 25% | 20% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 56% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 35% | −10 |
| Suwon Bluewings or draw | 75% | 80% | −5 |
| Suwon Bluewings clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Hwaseong clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 15 Aug
SUWON BLUEWINGS
HWASEONG
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 26 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 27 | +16 | 51 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 27 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 27 | +13 | 44 |
| 6 | Busan I Park | 27 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 27 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 28 | −10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | −5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | −7 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 27 | −9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | −6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | −21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 26 | −14 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 26 | −30 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Suwon City FC
Seoul E-Land FC
Daegu FC
Busan I Park
Gimpo Citizen
Asan Mugunghwa
Gyeongnam FC
Cheongju
Seongnam FC
Paju Citizen
Yongin City
Cheonan City
Ansan Greeners
Jeonnam Dragons
Gimhae City