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Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae City

Seoul E-Land FC
6–2Full time
Gimhae City

K League 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Mokdong Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 08:31
Seoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City SEOUL E-LAND FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Seoul E-Land FC win62%
The market said66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.221
The market’s Brier score0.171

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay23 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Seoul E-Land FC win at 62%.
  2. 0′KICK-OFF Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae City
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Seoul E-Land FC was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–22–16
  4. 19′We said Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–26–43
  5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Seoul E-Land FC 0–1 Gimhae City
  6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 31% now
  7. 19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Gimhae City win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Seoul E-Land FC win 31%)
  8. 21′A goal for Gimhae City on 20′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 30–27–43
  9. 23′We said Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
  10. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Seoul E-Land FC 1–1 Gimhae City
  11. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 56% now
  12. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Seoul E-Land FC win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Gimhae City win 17%)
  13. 25′Seoul E-Land FC score on 24′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 55–28–17
  14. 28′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it 83%. 2–1 · 83–13–4
  15. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
  16. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  17. 29′Seoul E-Land FC find the net on 28′. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–13–4
  18. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 83–13–4
  19. 45′SECOND HALF Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
  20. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Seoul E-Land FC
  21. 47′HALF-TIME Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
  22. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Son Hyeok-chan · Off: Bae Seo-Joon
  23. 51′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–0
  24. 51′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 97–3–0
  25. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Seoul E-Land FC 3–1 Gimhae City
  26. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 97% now
  27. 53′A goal for Seoul E-Land FC on 52′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
  28. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Seoul E-Land FC
  29. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Gimhae City · On: Lee Jun-Gyu · Off: Pyo Geon-Hee
  30. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Gimhae City · On: R. Macedo · Off: Lee Kang-Uk
  31. 60′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Seoul E-Land FC 4–1 Gimhae City
  33. 61′Seoul E-Land FC score on 60′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  34. 62′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  35. 64′6 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 98–2–0
  36. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Seoul E-Land FC 4–2 Gimhae City
  37. 65′Gimhae City find the net on 65′. 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
  38. 68′Gimhae City pull one back on 64′ through Lee Seung-Jae. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
  39. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Gimhae City
  40. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Kim Hyun · Off: Osmar
  41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Seoul E-Land FC · On: An Joo-wan · Off: Alan Carius
  42. 84′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  43. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Seoul E-Land FC 5–2 Gimhae City
  44. 85′A goal for Seoul E-Land FC on 85′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  45. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Jo Jun-hyun · Off: Bak Jae-Yong
  46. 89′8 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 6–2 · 100–0–0
  47. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Gimhae City · On: B. Mikeltadze · Off: Lee Seung-Jae
  48. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Seo Jin-seok · Off: Yoon Seok-Joo
  49. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Seoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City
  50. 90′Seoul E-Land FC score on 90′ to make it 6–2. 6–2 · 100–0–0
  51. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Seoul E-Land FC
  52. 94′That is 9, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 7–2 · 100–0–0
  53. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Seoul E-Land FC 7–2 Gimhae City
  54. 95′Seoul E-Land FC find the net on 90′. 7–2. 7–2 · 100–0–0
  55. 96′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Kim Hyun · Seoul E-Land FC
  56. FTFULL TIME Seoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City
  57. FTSeoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City · Seoul E-Land FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Seoul E-Land FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Seoul E-Land FC 62%, draw 22%, Gimhae City 16%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Seoul E-Land FC win62%
Draw22%
Gimhae City win16%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 06:00

RoundMatchday 29

VenueMokdong Stadium

Line-ups

Seoul E-Land FC

Gimhae City

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Seoul E-Land FC

Gimhae City

9Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2

Last match: 10 Oct · K League 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Seoul E-Land FC27+1651
17Gimhae City26−3014

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Seoul E-Land FC

Formation not confirmed

1 Min Seong-Jun

6 Baek Ji-Ung

5 Osmar

38 Caio Marcelo

13 Oh In-Pyo

30 Park Chang-Hwan

24 Yoon Seok-Joo

23 Bae Seo-Joon

7 Euller

16 Bak Jae-Yong

10 Alan Carius

Coach · Do-Kyun Kim

Substitutes

31 · Hwang Jae-yun

19 · Kim Ju-Hwan

33 · Son Hyeok-chan

2 · Park Jae-Hwan

14 · Kang Hyeon-Je

22 · Jo Jun-hyun

21 · Seo Jin-seok

70 · An Joo-wan

8 · Kim Hyun

Gimhae City

Formation not confirmed

91 Choe Pil-Soo

14 Pyo Geon-Hee

29 Hong Uk-Hyeon

5 J. Yeo

17 Y. Lee

11 Lee Kang-Uk

16 Choi Won-Chul

34 Gwak Seong-Uk

23 Sung Ho-Yeung

7 Lee Seung-Jae

94 J. Woo

Coach · Myeong-seong Choi

Substitutes

1 · Jeong Jin-Wook

6 · Choi Jun-Yeong

33 · Park Jae-Hyun

41 · Park Yo-Han

27 · Lee Jun-Gyu

22 · Park Sang-Jun

30 · H. Seol

96 · R. Macedo

9 · B. Mikeltadze

Our number · seoul e-land fc winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
62% The market66%
Us62%
Market66%

We make Seoul E-Land FC a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae City1.99 – 0.92
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 22 AugW3 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L4
Table places · points 51 v 143 v 17
The market · Seoul E-Land FC win66% · ours 62%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 05:42
Our probability · Seoul E-Land FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Seoul E-Land FC win62%66%−4
Draw22%20%+2
Gimhae City win16%14%+2
Over 2.5 goals55%58%−3
Both teams to score52%52%0
Over 1.5 goals79%79%0
Over 3.5 goals33%38%−5
Seoul E-Land FC or draw84%86%−2
Seoul E-Land FC clean sheet40%––
Gimhae City clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.8%
0123450 6.1 4.6 2.3 1 10.4 10.4 4.5 2 10.8 9.7 4.5 3 7.1 6.5 3.0 4 3.6 3.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Seoul E-Land FC down, Gimhae City across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsGIM 1–3 SEO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 22 Aug

SEOUL E-LAND FC

DDWLWW1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

GIMHAE CITY

LLDLLD0–2 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Suwon Bluewings26+2256
2Suwon City FC27+2354
3Seoul E-Land FC27+1651
4Daegu FC27+1549
5Hwaseong27+1344
6Busan I Park27+742
7Gimpo Citizen27+338
8Asan Mugunghwa27+336
9Gyeongnam FC27035
10Cheongju28−1032
11Seongnam FC27−531
12Paju Citizen27−730
13Yongin City27−927
14Cheonan City27−626
15Ansan Greeners28−2125
16Jeonnam Dragons26−1424
17Gimhae City26−3014

The competition's standings before kick-off.