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Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae City
Seoul E-Land FC
Gimhae CityK League 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Mokdong Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Seoul E-Land FC win at 62%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Seoul E-Land FC v Gimhae City
- 2′Much as we predicted: Seoul E-Land FC was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–22–16
- 19′We said Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–26–43
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Seoul E-Land FC 0–1 Gimhae City
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 31% now
- 19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Gimhae City win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Seoul E-Land FC win 31%)
- 21′A goal for Gimhae City on 20′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 30–27–43
- 23′We said Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Seoul E-Land FC 1–1 Gimhae City
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 56% now
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Seoul E-Land FC win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Gimhae City win 17%)
- 25′Seoul E-Land FC score on 24′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 55–28–17
- 28′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it 83%. 2–1 · 83–13–4
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
- 29′Seoul E-Land FC find the net on 28′. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–13–4
- 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 83–13–4
- 45′SECOND HALF Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Seoul E-Land FC
- 47′HALF-TIME Seoul E-Land FC 2–1 Gimhae City
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Son Hyeok-chan · Off: Bae Seo-Joon
- 51′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–0
- 51′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 97–3–0
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Seoul E-Land FC 3–1 Gimhae City
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Seoul E-Land FC win: 62% at kick-off, 97% now
- 53′A goal for Seoul E-Land FC on 52′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Seoul E-Land FC
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Gimhae City · On: Lee Jun-Gyu · Off: Pyo Geon-Hee
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Gimhae City · On: R. Macedo · Off: Lee Kang-Uk
- 60′We published Seoul E-Land FC at 62%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Seoul E-Land FC 4–1 Gimhae City
- 61′Seoul E-Land FC score on 60′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 62′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 64′6 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Seoul E-Land FC 4–2 Gimhae City
- 65′Gimhae City find the net on 65′. 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 68′Gimhae City pull one back on 64′ through Lee Seung-Jae. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Gimhae City
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Kim Hyun · Off: Osmar
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Seoul E-Land FC · On: An Joo-wan · Off: Alan Carius
- 84′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Seoul E-Land FC 5–2 Gimhae City
- 85′A goal for Seoul E-Land FC on 85′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Jo Jun-hyun · Off: Bak Jae-Yong
- 89′8 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Gimhae City · On: B. Mikeltadze · Off: Lee Seung-Jae
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Seoul E-Land FC · On: Seo Jin-seok · Off: Yoon Seok-Joo
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Seoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City
- 90′Seoul E-Land FC score on 90′ to make it 6–2. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Seoul E-Land FC
- 94′That is 9, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 7–2 · 100–0–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Seoul E-Land FC 7–2 Gimhae City
- 95′Seoul E-Land FC find the net on 90′. 7–2. 7–2 · 100–0–0
- 96′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Kim Hyun · Seoul E-Land FC
- FTFULL TIME Seoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City
- FTSeoul E-Land FC 6–2 Gimhae City · Seoul E-Land FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Seoul E-Land FC are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Seoul E-Land FC 62%, draw 22%, Gimhae City 16%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Seoul E-Land FC win62%
Gimhae City win16%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueMokdong Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Seoul E-Land FCMIN
Gimhae CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Seoul E-Land FC
Gimhae City
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Seoul E-Land FC
Gimhae City
Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2
Last match: 10 Oct · K League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Seoul E-Land FC
Formation not confirmed
1 Min Seong-Jun
6 Baek Ji-Ung
5 Osmar
38 Caio Marcelo
13 Oh In-Pyo
30 Park Chang-Hwan
24 Yoon Seok-Joo
23 Bae Seo-Joon
7 Euller
16 Bak Jae-Yong
10 Alan Carius
Coach · Do-Kyun Kim
Substitutes
31 · Hwang Jae-yun
19 · Kim Ju-Hwan
33 · Son Hyeok-chan
2 · Park Jae-Hwan
14 · Kang Hyeon-Je
22 · Jo Jun-hyun
21 · Seo Jin-seok
70 · An Joo-wan
8 · Kim Hyun
Gimhae City
Formation not confirmed
91 Choe Pil-Soo
14 Pyo Geon-Hee
29 Hong Uk-Hyeon
5 J. Yeo
17 Y. Lee
11 Lee Kang-Uk
16 Choi Won-Chul
34 Gwak Seong-Uk
23 Sung Ho-Yeung
7 Lee Seung-Jae
94 J. Woo
Coach · Myeong-seong Choi
Substitutes
1 · Jeong Jin-Wook
6 · Choi Jun-Yeong
33 · Park Jae-Hyun
41 · Park Yo-Han
27 · Lee Jun-Gyu
22 · Park Sang-Jun
30 · H. Seol
96 · R. Macedo
9 · B. Mikeltadze
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Seoul E-Land FC
Formation not confirmed
1 Min Seong-Jun
6 Baek Ji-Ung
5 Osmar
38 Caio Marcelo
13 Oh In-Pyo
30 Park Chang-Hwan
24 Yoon Seok-Joo
23 Bae Seo-Joon
7 Euller
16 Bak Jae-Yong
10 Alan Carius
Coach · Do-Kyun Kim
Substitutes
31 · Hwang Jae-yun
19 · Kim Ju-Hwan
33 · Son Hyeok-chan
2 · Park Jae-Hwan
14 · Kang Hyeon-Je
22 · Jo Jun-hyun
21 · Seo Jin-seok
70 · An Joo-wan
8 · Kim Hyun
Gimhae City
Formation not confirmed
91 Choe Pil-Soo
14 Pyo Geon-Hee
29 Hong Uk-Hyeon
5 J. Yeo
17 Y. Lee
11 Lee Kang-Uk
16 Choi Won-Chul
34 Gwak Seong-Uk
23 Sung Ho-Yeung
7 Lee Seung-Jae
94 J. Woo
Coach · Myeong-seong Choi
Substitutes
1 · Jeong Jin-Wook
6 · Choi Jun-Yeong
33 · Park Jae-Hyun
41 · Park Yo-Han
27 · Lee Jun-Gyu
22 · Park Sang-Jun
30 · H. Seol
96 · R. Macedo
9 · B. Mikeltadze
We make Seoul E-Land FC a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul E-Land FC win | 62% | 66% | −4 |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | +2 |
| Gimhae City win | 16% | 14% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 38% | −5 |
| Seoul E-Land FC or draw | 84% | 86% | −2 |
| Seoul E-Land FC clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Gimhae City clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 22 Aug
SEOUL E-LAND FC
GIMHAE CITY
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 26 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 27 | +16 | 51 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 27 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 27 | +13 | 44 |
| 6 | Busan I Park | 27 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 27 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 28 | −10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | −5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | −7 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 27 | −9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | −6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | −21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 26 | −14 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 26 | −30 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon City FC
Daegu FC
Hwaseong
Busan I Park
Gimpo Citizen
Asan Mugunghwa
Gyeongnam FC
Cheongju
Seongnam FC
Paju Citizen
Yongin City
Cheonan City
Ansan Greeners
Jeonnam Dragons