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Seongnam FC v Suwon City FC
Seongnam FC
Suwon City FCK League 2 · SAT 17 OCT · Tancheon Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Suwon City FC win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Suwon City FC was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 27–27–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Seongnam FC v Suwon City FC
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Suwon City FC
- 37′We published Suwon City FC at 46%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 7–18–75
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Seongnam FC 0–1 Suwon City FC
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
- 38′Suwon City FC ahead on 37′ through Han Chan-Hee. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–18–75
- 39′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 6–18–75
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Seongnam FC 0–1 Suwon City FC
- 45′SECOND HALF Seongnam FC 0–1 Suwon City FC
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Seongnam FC · On: Lee Jeong-Bin · Off: Rodrigo Angelotti
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Seongnam FC · On: Hwang Seok-Ki · Off: Yang Tae-yang
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Suwon City FC · On: Jung Seung-Bae · Off: Kim Do-Yoon
- 59′We published Suwon City FC at 46%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Seongnam FC · On: Kim Ji-hyuk · Off: Kim Min-jae
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Seongnam FC · On: M. Jeon · Off: Kwon Byeong-jun
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Suwon City FC · On: Goo Bon-Cheul · Off: Han Chan-Hee
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Suwon City FC · On: Ha Jeong-woo · Off: K. Kim
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Suwon City FC
- 71′We published Suwon City FC at 46%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Seongnam FC
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Seongnam FC · On: Hong Chang-Beom · Off: Lee Jae-Wook
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Seongnam FC
- 79′We published Suwon City FC at 46%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Suwon City FC · On: Park Cheol-Woo · Off: Choi Gi-Yun
- 83′We said Suwon City FC at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 7–83–10
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Seongnam FC 1–1 Suwon City FC
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 10% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Suwon City FC win 10%)
- 84′A goal for Seongnam FC on 84′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 6–85–9
- 85′We said Suwon City FC at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 6–86–8
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Suwon City FC at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Seongnam FC
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Suwon City FC · On: Lee Hyeon-yong · Off: Kim Ji-hun
- 95′We published Suwon City FC at 46%. Our model now makes it 99%. 1–2 · 0–1–99
- 95′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–1–99
- 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Seongnam FC 1–2 Suwon City FC
- 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+5' Suwon City FC win: 46% at kick-off, 99% now
- 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Suwon City FC win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Seongnam FC
- 96′Suwon City FC score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
- FTFULL TIME Seongnam FC 1–2 Suwon City FC
- FTSeongnam FC 1–2 Suwon City FC · Suwon City FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSuwon City FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Seongnam FC 27%, draw 27%, Suwon City FC 46%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Seongnam FC win27%
Suwon City FC win46%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueTancheon Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Seongnam FCMIN
Suwon City FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Seongnam FC
Suwon City FC
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Seongnam FC
Suwon City FC
Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2
Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Seongnam FC
Formation not confirmed
1 Lee Kwang-Yeon
20 Lee Sang-Min
4 Venicio
5 Yu Sun
23 You Ju-An
36 Lee Jae-Wook
14 Elionay
19 Yang Tae-yang
27 Kwon Byeong-jun
18 Kim Min-jae
9 Rodrigo Angelotti
Coach · Han Dong-hoon
Substitutes
28 · Joung Myung-jae
2 · Hwang Seok-Ki
33 · Kim Chan-il
16 · Ryu Jun-sun
35 · Kim Ji-hyuk
8 · Lee Jeong-Bin
17 · Park Byeong-gyu
7 · Hong Chang-Beom
90 · M. Jeon
Suwon City FC
Formation not confirmed
21 Yang Han-Been
25 Jang Young-Woo
6 Kim Ji-hun
3 Derlan
22 Seo Jae-Min
8 Han Chan-Hee
7 Lee Jae-Won
27 S. Lee
29 Choi Gi-Yun
91 Kim Do-Yoon
19 K. Kim
Coach · Kun-Ha Park
Substitutes
13 · Jeong Min-Ki
20 · Lee Ji-Sol
59 · Park Cheol-Woo
5 · Lee Hyeon-yong
10 · Matheus Frizzo
11 · Kim Jeong-Hwan
14 · Goo Bon-Cheul
99 · Ha Jeong-woo
70 · Jung Seung-Bae
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Seongnam FC
Formation not confirmed
1 Lee Kwang-Yeon
20 Lee Sang-Min
4 Venicio
5 Yu Sun
23 You Ju-An
36 Lee Jae-Wook
14 Elionay
19 Yang Tae-yang
27 Kwon Byeong-jun
18 Kim Min-jae
9 Rodrigo Angelotti
Coach · Han Dong-hoon
Substitutes
28 · Joung Myung-jae
2 · Hwang Seok-Ki
33 · Kim Chan-il
16 · Ryu Jun-sun
35 · Kim Ji-hyuk
8 · Lee Jeong-Bin
17 · Park Byeong-gyu
7 · Hong Chang-Beom
90 · M. Jeon
Suwon City FC
Formation not confirmed
21 Yang Han-Been
25 Jang Young-Woo
6 Kim Ji-hun
3 Derlan
22 Seo Jae-Min
8 Han Chan-Hee
7 Lee Jae-Won
27 S. Lee
29 Choi Gi-Yun
91 Kim Do-Yoon
19 K. Kim
Coach · Kun-Ha Park
Substitutes
13 · Jeong Min-Ki
20 · Lee Ji-Sol
59 · Park Cheol-Woo
5 · Lee Hyeon-yong
10 · Matheus Frizzo
11 · Kim Jeong-Hwan
14 · Goo Bon-Cheul
99 · Ha Jeong-woo
70 · Jung Seung-Bae
We make Suwon City FC a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seongnam FC win | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Suwon City FC win | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 54% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 57% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 33% | −7 |
| Seongnam FC or draw | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Seongnam FC clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Suwon City FC clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 22 Aug
SEONGNAM FC
SUWON CITY FC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 26 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 26 | +22 | 51 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 27 | +16 | 51 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 26 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 27 | +13 | 44 |
| 6 | Busan I Park | 27 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 26 | +3 | 35 |
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 26 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 26 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 27 | −8 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 26 | −4 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 26 | −4 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 26 | −5 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | −6 | 26 |
| 15 | Jeonnam Dragons | 26 | −14 | 24 |
| 16 | Ansan Greeners | 27 | −25 | 22 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 26 | −30 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Suwon Bluewings
Seoul E-Land FC
Daegu FC
Hwaseong
Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
Gimpo Citizen
Gyeongnam FC
Cheongju
Paju Citizen
Yongin City
Cheonan City
Jeonnam Dragons
Ansan Greeners
Gimhae City