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Jeonnam Dragons v Daegu FC
Jeonnam Dragons
Daegu FCK League 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Gwangyang Football Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Daegu FC win at 44%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Daegu FC 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 32–24–44
- 1′KICK-OFF Jeonnam Dragons v Daegu FC
- 3′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 15–17–68
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Jeonnam Dragons 0–1 Daegu FC
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 68% now
- 4′A goal for Daegu FC on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–17–68
- 7′Matheus Serafim scores for Daegu FC on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–17–68
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Jeonnam Dragons 1–1 Daegu FC
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 43% now
- 12′Jeonnam Dragons score on 12′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–26–43
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Jeonnam Dragons 1–2 Daegu FC
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 69% now
- 17′Daegu FC find the net on 17′. 1–2. 1–2 · 13–18–69
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Daegu FC
- 20′Daegu FC ahead on 16′ through M. Dackers. 1–2. 1–2 · 13–18–69
- 29′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–2 · 12–19–70
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Daegu FC
- 41′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Jeonnam Dragons 1–3 Daegu FC
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 91% now
- 42′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 43′A goal for Daegu FC on 42′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 45′SECOND HALF Jeonnam Dragons 1–3 Daegu FC
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jeonnam Dragons · On: Jeong Ji-Yong · Off: Jeong Kang-min
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jeonnam Dragons · On: Ha Nam · Off: Yoo Ji-Ha
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Daegu FC · On: Jang Sung-won · Off: Lee Rim
- 54′HALF-TIME Jeonnam Dragons 1–3 Daegu FC
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
- 60′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–3 · 1–5–95
- 69′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–3 · 3–17–79
- 69′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 3–17–79
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Jeonnam Dragons 2–3 Daegu FC
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 79% now
- 70′Jeonnam Dragons score on 69′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 3–17–80
- 71′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–3 · 3–17–80
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Jeonnam Dragons
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
- 77′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–3 · 2–14–85
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Daegu FC · On: Han Kook-Young · Off: Ryu Jae-Moon
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Jeonnam Dragons · On: Mirandinha · Off: Yoon Min-ho
- 78′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 0–1–99
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Jeonnam Dragons 2–4 Daegu FC
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Daegu FC win: 44% at kick-off, 99% now
- 80′Daegu FC find the net on 79′. 2–4. 2–4 · 0–1–99
- 84′We said Daegu FC at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Daegu FC · On: Hong Jae-Seok · Off: Cesinha
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Daegu FC
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Jeonnam Dragons · On: Noh Dong-Geon · Off: S. Ho
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Jeonnam Dragons · On: I. Bughridze · Off: Park Tae-Yong
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Daegu FC · On: Edgar · Off: M. Dackers
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Daegu FC · On: Park In-Hyeok · Off: Matheus Serafim
- FTFULL TIME Jeonnam Dragons 2–4 Daegu FC
- FTJeonnam Dragons 2–4 Daegu FC · Daegu FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Daegu FC are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Jeonnam Dragons 32%, draw 24%, Daegu FC 44%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Jeonnam Dragons win32%
Daegu FC win44%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 30
VenueGwangyang Football Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Jeonnam DragonsMIN
Daegu FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Jeonnam Dragons
Daegu FC
Last match: 18 Oct · K League 2
Last match: 17 Oct · K League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Daegu FC a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonnam Dragons win | 32% | 21% | +11 |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | +2 |
| Daegu FC win | 44% | 57% | −13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 60% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 81% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 40% | +1 |
| Jeonnam Dragons or draw | 56% | 43% | +13 |
| Jeonnam Dragons clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Daegu FC clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 22 Aug
JEONNAM DRAGONS
DAEGU FC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 27 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 27 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 28 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 28 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 27 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 28 | −10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | −5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | −7 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 27 | −9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | −6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | −21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 27 | −15 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 27 | −34 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon City FC
Seoul E-Land FC
Busan I Park
Hwaseong
Gimpo Citizen
Asan Mugunghwa
Gyeongnam FC
Cheongju
Seongnam FC
Paju Citizen
Yongin City
Cheonan City
Ansan Greeners
Gimhae City