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Gimpo Citizen v Seoul E-Land FC

Gimpo Citizen

0–1Full time

Seoul E-Land FC

K League 2 · FRI 9 OCT · Gimpo Salter Soccer Field

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 11:02

Gimpo Citizen 0–1 Seoul E-Land FC SEOUL E-LAND FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Seoul E-Land FC win~~39%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.564

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.501

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Gimpo Citizen win33%

Draw28%

Seoul E-Land FC win39%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 08:30

Venue · Gimpo Salter Soccer Field

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Gimpo Citizen

Formation not confirmed

31 Son Jeong-Hyeon

47 Kim Dong-Min

4 Kim Tae-Han

3 Park Kyung-Rok

16 Kim Sung-Joon

14 Lee Hak-Min

8 Djalma

32 Jang Bu-seong

11 Lee Si-Heon

50 Park Dong-Jin

96 Paulo Henrique

Coach · Jeong-woon Ko

Substitutes

1 · Lee Sang-min

5 · Lee Chan-hyung

7 · Kim Do-Hyeok

13 · Park Sang-hyoun

17 · C. Lim

18 · Kim Jun-seo

20 · Kim Min-Seog

23 · M. Kim

44 · Lee Yong-Hyeok

Seoul E-Land FC

Formation not confirmed

1 Min Seong-Jun

13 Oh In-Pyo

6 Baek Ji-Ung

5 Osmar

19 Kim Ju-Hwan

30 Park Chang-Hwan

24 Yoon Seok-Joo

22 Jo Jun-hyun

7 Euller

16 Bak Jae-Yong

47 Lee Joo-hyuk

Coach · Do-Kyun Kim

Substitutes

8 · Kim Hyun

10 · Alan Carius

14 · Kang Hyeon-Je

21 · Seo Jin-seok

23 · Bae Seo-Joon

31 · Hwang Jae-yun

33 · Son Hyeok-chan

38 · Caio Marcelo

70 · An Joo-wan

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Gimpo Citizen

Formation not confirmed

31 Son Jeong-Hyeon

47 Kim Dong-Min

4 Kim Tae-Han

3 Park Kyung-Rok

16 Kim Sung-Joon

14 Lee Hak-Min

8 Djalma

32 Jang Bu-seong

11 Lee Si-Heon

50 Park Dong-Jin

96 Paulo Henrique

Coach · Jeong-woon Ko

Substitutes

1 · Lee Sang-min

5 · Lee Chan-hyung

7 · Kim Do-Hyeok

13 · Park Sang-hyoun

17 · C. Lim

18 · Kim Jun-seo

20 · Kim Min-Seog

23 · M. Kim

44 · Lee Yong-Hyeok

Seoul E-Land FC

Formation not confirmed

1 Min Seong-Jun

13 Oh In-Pyo

6 Baek Ji-Ung

5 Osmar

19 Kim Ju-Hwan

30 Park Chang-Hwan

24 Yoon Seok-Joo

22 Jo Jun-hyun

7 Euller

16 Bak Jae-Yong

47 Lee Joo-hyuk

Coach · Do-Kyun Kim

Substitutes

8 · Kim Hyun

10 · Alan Carius

14 · Kang Hyeon-Je

21 · Seo Jin-seok

23 · Bae Seo-Joon

31 · Hwang Jae-yun

33 · Son Hyeok-chan

38 · Caio Marcelo

70 · An Joo-wan

Our number · seoul e-land fc winPublished 9 Oct 08:30

39% The market42%

Us39%

~~Market~~42%

We make Seoul E-Land FC a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gimpo Citizen win	33%	31%	+2
Draw	28%	27%	+2
Seoul E-Land FC win	39%	42%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	45%	53%	−9
Both teams to score	50%	58%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	71%	76%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	24%	33%	−9
Gimpo Citizen or draw	61%	58%	+4
Gimpo Citizen clean sheet	28%	–	–
Seoul E-Land FC clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 9.3 10.4 7.1 3.1 1 9.4 13.4 8.2 3.6 2 5.8 7.4 4.8 2.1 3 2.3 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gimpo Citizen down, Seoul E-Land FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,367 K League 2 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

K League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.9% of games this season, across 216 played.

Head to head

14 previous meetings, 2.71 goals a meeting; 8 of 14 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gimpo Citizen at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Seoul E-Land FC away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen, 1.29 for Seoul E-Land FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.71

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 14

~~Both scored~~8 of 14

~~Last meetings~~SEO 2–1 GIM · GIM 0–1 SEO · SEO 1–1 GIM · GIM 1–2 SEO

Form · last six in K League 2

GIMPO CITIZEN

WDLLDW3–0 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–0

SEOUL E-LAND FC

WDDWLW3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Suwon Bluewings	25	+19	53
2	Suwon City FC	25	+21	48
3	Seoul E-Land FC	26	+15	48
4	Daegu FC	26	+13	46
5	Hwaseong	26	+14	44
6	Busan I Park	26	+7	41
7	Gimpo Citizen	25	+1	35
8	Asan Mugunghwa	25	+3	34
9	Gyeongnam FC	25	+1	34
10	Seongnam FC	25	−2	31
11	Paju Citizen	25	−4	29
12	Cheongju	26	−10	29
13	Yongin City	25	−4	27
14	Cheonan City	26	−7	23
15	Ansan Greeners	26	−22	22
16	Jeonnam Dragons	25	−15	21
17	Gimhae City	25	−30	13