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Daegu FC v Cheongju
Daegu FC
CheongjuK League 2 · SAT 17 OCT · DGB Daegu Bank Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Daegu FC win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Daegu FC 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–24–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Daegu FC v Cheongju
- 8′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 8′Daegu FC score on 8′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Daegu FC 1–0 Cheongju
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 79% now
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Daegu FC 1–1 Cheongju
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
- 16′Cheongju find the net on 14′. 1–1. 1–1 · 52–27–21
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Daegu FC
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Cheongju
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 45′We said Daegu FC at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–37–20
- 45′SECOND HALF Daegu FC 1–1 Cheongju
- 48′HALF-TIME Daegu FC 1–1 Cheongju
- 50′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 2–1 · 81–15–4
- 50′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–15–4
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Daegu FC 2–1 Cheongju
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 81% now
- 52′A goal for Daegu FC on 51′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 81–15–4
- 53′Go Jae-Hyeon scores for Daegu FC on 52′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 81–15–4
- 54′We said Daegu FC at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–19
- 55′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 38–43–18
- 55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Daegu FC
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 38% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Daegu FC win 38%)
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
- 62′We said Daegu FC at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
- 68′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Daegu FC 2–1 Cheongju
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Daegu FC win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
- 69′A goal for Daegu FC on 69′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Daegu FC · On: Ryu Jae-Moon · Off: Han Kook-Young
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Cheongju · On: Baek Sung-Dong · Off: Seo Jae-Won
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Cheongju · On: Heo Seung-Chan · Off: Jeong Jin-Woo
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Cheongju · On: Lee Gang-Han · Off: Bak Keon-Woo
- 78′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Daegu FC · On: Lee Rim · Off: Hwang In-Taek
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Daegu FC · On: Matheus Serafim · Off: Kim Ju-Gong
- 79′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Daegu FC 3–1 Cheongju
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Daegu FC win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
- 80′Daegu FC score on 80′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–0–0
- 81′We said Daegu FC at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′79′: M. Dackers on the scoresheet for Daegu FC, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cheongju · On: Yang Young-been · Off: Chico Geraldes
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cheongju · On: Lee Dong-won · Off: J. Lee
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Daegu FC · On: Darnlei · Off: Cesinha
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Daegu FC · On: Hong Jae-Seok · Off: Lee Won-Woo
- 96′3–1 at the end. Our 55% on Daegu FC comes in. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Daegu FC 3–1 Cheongju
- FTDaegu FC 3–1 Cheongju · Daegu FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDaegu FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Daegu FC 55%, draw 24%, Cheongju 21%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Daegu FC win55%
Cheongju win21%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueDGB Daegu Bank Park
Match timeline
All events
Daegu FCMIN
CheongjuEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Daegu FC
Cheongju
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Daegu FC
Cheongju
Last match: 19 Sept · K League 2
Last match: 9 Oct · K League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Daegu FC
Formation not confirmed
31 Han Tae-Hui
2 Hwang Jae-Won
20 Kim Kang-San
15 Lee Won-Woo
26 Hwang In-Taek
17 Go Jae-Hyeon
14 Park Se-Jin
11 Cesinha
8 Han Kook-Young
77 Kim Ju-Gong
16 M. Dackers
Coach · Sung-yong Choi
Substitutes
1 · Go Dong-Min
22 · Jang Sung-won
66 · Lee Rim
55 · Hong Jae-Seok
29 · Ryu Jae-Moon
25 · Kim Dae-Woo
10 · Matheus Serafim
7 · Darnlei
99 · Park In-Hyeok
Cheongju
Formation not confirmed
23 Cho Seong-Been
25 Bandeira
18 Jo Ju-yeong
4 Jo Yun-Seong
8 Bak Keon-Woo
5 Kim Seon-Min
80 Chico Geraldes
42 Jeong Jin-Woo
14 Seo Jae-Won
13 J. Lee
11 M. Garcia
Coach · Rui Quinta
Substitutes
32 · Lee Seung-Hwan
66 · Lee Gang-Han
41 · Kang Eui-Bin
16 · Heo Seung-Chan
22 · Yang Young-been
7 · Baek Sung-Dong
19 · Song Chang-Seok
17 · Lee Dong-won
37 · L. Yoon-Hwan
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Daegu FC
Formation not confirmed
31 Han Tae-Hui
2 Hwang Jae-Won
20 Kim Kang-San
15 Lee Won-Woo
26 Hwang In-Taek
17 Go Jae-Hyeon
14 Park Se-Jin
11 Cesinha
8 Han Kook-Young
77 Kim Ju-Gong
16 M. Dackers
Coach · Sung-yong Choi
Substitutes
1 · Go Dong-Min
22 · Jang Sung-won
66 · Lee Rim
55 · Hong Jae-Seok
29 · Ryu Jae-Moon
25 · Kim Dae-Woo
10 · Matheus Serafim
7 · Darnlei
99 · Park In-Hyeok
Cheongju
Formation not confirmed
23 Cho Seong-Been
25 Bandeira
18 Jo Ju-yeong
4 Jo Yun-Seong
8 Bak Keon-Woo
5 Kim Seon-Min
80 Chico Geraldes
42 Jeong Jin-Woo
14 Seo Jae-Won
13 J. Lee
11 M. Garcia
Coach · Rui Quinta
Substitutes
32 · Lee Seung-Hwan
66 · Lee Gang-Han
41 · Kang Eui-Bin
16 · Heo Seung-Chan
22 · Yang Young-been
7 · Baek Sung-Dong
19 · Song Chang-Seok
17 · Lee Dong-won
37 · L. Yoon-Hwan
We make Daegu FC a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 58% to 60% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daegu FC win | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | +2 |
| Cheongju win | 21% | 18% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 36% | −4 |
| Daegu FC or draw | 79% | 82% | −3 |
| Daegu FC clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Cheongju clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 16 Aug
DAEGU FC
CHEONGJU
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 26 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 26 | +22 | 51 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 27 | +16 | 51 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 26 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 27 | +13 | 44 |
| 6 | Busan I Park | 27 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 26 | +3 | 35 |
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 26 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 26 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 27 | −8 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 26 | −4 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 26 | −4 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 26 | −5 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | −6 | 26 |
| 15 | Jeonnam Dragons | 26 | −14 | 24 |
| 16 | Ansan Greeners | 27 | −25 | 22 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 26 | −30 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon City FC
Seoul E-Land FC
Hwaseong
Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
Gimpo Citizen
Gyeongnam FC
Seongnam FC
Paju Citizen
Yongin City
Cheonan City
Jeonnam Dragons
Ansan Greeners
Gimhae City