Cheongju v Yongin City prediction · K League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CheongjuDrawYongin City

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 07:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Yongin City 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yongin City are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cheongju 33%, draw 28%, Yongin City 39%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Cheongju v Yongin CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Cheongju win33%

Draw28%

Yongin City win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 07:30

RoundMatchday 30

VenueCheongju Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cheongju

Yongin City

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · K League 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Cheongju	28	−10	32
13	Yongin City	27	−9	27

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yongin city winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market32%

Us39%

~~Market~~32%

We make Yongin City a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cheongju v Yongin City~~1.20 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 32 v 27~~10 v 13

~~The market · Yongin City win~~32% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Yongin City win The market, margin stripped

Published at 38%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cheongju win	33%	40%	−7
Draw	28%	28%	0
Yongin City win	39%	32%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	46%	49%	−3
Both teams to score	51%	54%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	72%	72%	0
Over 3.5 goals	24%	29%	−5
Cheongju or draw	61%	68%	−7
Cheongju clean sheet	27%	–	–
Yongin City clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 9.0 10.1 7.0 3.1 1 9.2 13.2 8.2 3.6 2 5.9 7.5 4.9 2.2 3 2.4 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cheongju down, Yongin City across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,385 K League 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: K League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.0% of games this season, across 234 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cheongju at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Yongin City away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Cheongju, 1.31 for Yongin City. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~YON 1–1 CHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in K League 2 this season · since 29 Aug

CHEONGJU

LLWWWL1–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 1–3

YONGIN CITY

WDLDLL3–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	+23	59
2	Suwon City FC	27	+23	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	+20	54
4	Daegu FC	28	+17	52
5	Busan I Park	28	+8	45
6	Hwaseong	28	+12	44
7	Gimpo Citizen	28	+2	38
8	Asan Mugunghwa	27	+3	36
9	Gyeongnam FC	27	0	35
10	Cheongju	28	−10	32
11	Seongnam FC	27	−5	31
12	Paju Citizen	27	−7	30
13	Yongin City	27	−9	27
14	Cheonan City	27	−6	26
15	Ansan Greeners	28	−21	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	28	−17	24
17	Gimhae City	28	−33	17