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Pohang Steelers v FC Anyang

Pohang Steelers
0–0Full time
FC Anyang

K League 1 · SUN 18 OCT · Pohang Steel Yard

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 11:04
Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang POHANG STEELERS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Pohang Steelers win39%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.771
The market’s Brier score0.775

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pohang Steelers win at 39%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pohang Steelers 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–32
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Pohang Steelers v FC Anyang
  4. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' FC Anyang
  5. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Kim Seung-Ho · Pohang Steelers
  6. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Pohang Steelers win 33%)
  7. 39′FC Anyang have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 33–39–28
  8. 40′8 shots for FC Anyang, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–39–28
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang
  10. 45′SECOND HALF Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang
  11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Pohang Steelers · On: Jakob Tranziska · Off: Cho Sang-Hyeok
  12. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Pohang Steelers win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
  13. 58′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–50–23
  14. 58′12 shots for FC Anyang, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 27–50–23
  15. 59′Goalless on 59′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–42–27
  16. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Pohang Steelers · On: Jung Han-Min · Off: Kento Nishiya
  17. 63′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–21
  18. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' FC Anyang · On: Chae Hyun-woo · Off: Choi Geon-joo
  19. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' FC Anyang · On: Kim Un · Off: Breno Herculano Almeida
  20. 71′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
  21. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Pohang Steelers win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
  22. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Anyang · On: Kim Jung-Hyun · Off: Danny Bakker
  23. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Anyang · On: Branislav Knezevic · Off: Lee Jin-Yong
  24. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Juninho Rocha · Pohang Steelers
  25. 78′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
  26. 83′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
  27. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Pohang Steelers win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
  28. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Pohang Steelers · On: Kim Yong-Hak · Off: Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
  29. 86′16 shots for FC Anyang, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 7–88–6
  30. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Anyang · On: Kang Kim · Off: Ivan Jukić
  31. 90′We said Pohang Steelers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  32. 90′0–0 at the end. Our 39% on Pohang Steelers misses, and the record keeps it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
  33. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Kim Dong-Jin · Pohang Steelers
  34. FTFULL TIME Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang
  35. FTPohang Steelers 0–0 FC Anyang · Pohang Steelers win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pohang Steelers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pohang Steelers 39%, draw 28%, FC Anyang 32%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Pohang Steelers v FC AnyangBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Pohang Steelers win39%
Draw28%
FC Anyang win32%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 32

VenuePohang Steel Yard

Line-ups

Pohang Steelers

4-4-2

FC Anyang

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pohang Steelers

FC Anyang

5Days since last match8

Last match: 13 Oct · AFC Champions League Elite

Last match: 10 Oct · K League 1

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8FC Anyang31−841
9Pohang Steelers31−940

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Pohang Steelers

4-4-2

21 Hwang In-Jae

13 Kang Min-Jun

20 Park Chan-Yong

4 Jeon Min-kwang

77 Wanderson

31 K. Nishiya

8 Kim Seung-Ho

16 Kim Dong-Jin

11 J. da Rocha Junior

18 Cho Sang-Hyeok

25 Jorge Teixeira

Coach · Tae-Ha Park

Substitutes

1 · Yun Pyeong-Guk

14 · Lee Chang-Woo

5 · Jin Si-woo

3 · Kim Ye-Sung

17 · Shin Kwang-Hoon

36 · H. Kim

30 · Kim Yong-Hak

10 · J. Tranziska

37 · Jung Han-Min

FC Anyang

4-3-3

23 Kim Jeong-Hoon

17 Kang Ji-hun

3 Kim Ji-hun

21 Kwon Kyung-Won

25 J. Kim

7 Matheus Oliveira

26 Lee Jin-Yong

33 D. Bakker

27 Choi Geon-Joo

9 Breno Herculano

10 I. Jukic

Coach · Byeong-hoon Ryu

Substitutes

31 · Kim Da-Sol

5 · Kim Young-Chan

22 · Kim Dong-Jin

8 · Kim Jung-Hyun

18 · B. Knezevic

24 · Kim Bo-Kyung

19 · Kim Un

71 · Chae Hyun-woo

47 · Kim Gang

Our number · pohang steelers winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
39% The market43%
Us39%
Market43%

We make Pohang Steelers a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pohang Steelers v FC Anyang1.30 – 1.15
Form · last six in K League 1 this season · since 29 AugW1 D3 L2 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 40 v 419 v 8
The market · Pohang Steelers win43% · ours 39%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 08:12
Our probability · Pohang Steelers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pohang Steelers win39%43%−4
Draw28%29%−1
FC Anyang win32%29%+3
Over 2.5 goals44%47%−3
Both teams to score50%52%−2
Over 1.5 goals71%71%0
Over 3.5 goals23%26%−3
Pohang Steelers or draw68%71%−3
Pohang Steelers clean sheet32%––
FC Anyang clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%
0123450 9.3 9.3 5.7 2.2 1 10.6 13.4 7.4 2.8 2 7.3 8.3 4.8 3 3.2 3.6 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pohang Steelers down, FC Anyang across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsFCA 2–3 POH · POH 0–1 FCA · FCA 0–1 POH · FCA 0–2 POH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in K League 1 this season · since 29 Aug

POHANG STEELERS

DLDDWL0–0 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–3

FC ANYANG

DLLDWW1–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC Seoul31+3265
2Ulsan Hyundai FC32+550
3Gangwon FC31+1046
4Jeju United FC31+546
5Jeonbuk Motors31+944
6Daejeon Citizen31+1043
7Incheon United31+642
8FC Anyang31−841
9Pohang Steelers31−940
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC31−733
11Bucheon FC 199532−1232
12Gwangju FC31−4118

The competition's standings before kick-off.