Home › Football › K League 1 › Jeonbuk Motors v Jeju United FC
Back

Jeonbuk Motors v Jeju United FC
Jeonbuk Motors
Jeju United FCK League 1 · SUN 18 OCT · Jeonju World Cup Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Jeonbuk Motors win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Jeonbuk Motors 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–28–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Jeonbuk Motors v Jeju United FC
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Jeju United FC
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Lee Dong-Jun · Jeonbuk Motors
- 32′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 Jeju United FC
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Jeonbuk Motors win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
- 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
- 35′Tiago Orobó scores for Jeonbuk Motors on 32′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–17–6
- 45′SECOND HALF Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Jeju United FC
- 47′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–21
- 47′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 Jeju United FC
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Jeonbuk Motors win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Jeonbuk Motors win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Seung-Woo Lee · Off: Lee Dong-Jun
- 51′Jeonbuk Motors ahead on 47′ through Kim Young-Bin. 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
- 52′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
- 54′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–48–20 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Jeju United FC
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Jeonbuk Motors win: 47% at kick-off, 32% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Jeonbuk Motors win 32%)
- 55′45′: Emerson Negueba on the scoresheet for Jeju United FC, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–49–20 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 58′HALF-TIME Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Jeju United FC
- 60′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 3–1 · 97–2–0
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Jeonbuk Motors 3–1 Jeju United FC
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Jeonbuk Motors win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–2–0
- 62′Tiago Orobó scores for Jeonbuk Motors on 60′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Jeju United FC · On: Eraldo Cinari · Off: Lee Chang-Min
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Jeju United FC · On: Rim Chang-Woo · Off: Park Chang-Jun
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Jeju United FC · On: Choi Byung-Wook · Off: Kwon Gi-min
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Kim Ryun-sung · Jeju United FC
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Lee Sang-Myung · Off: Kim Tae-hyeon
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Cho Wi-Je · Off: João Gamboa
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jeju United FC · On: Kim Shin-jin · Off: Lee Kun-hee
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jeju United FC · On: Park Min-Jae · Off: Kim Ryun-sung
- 80′We said Jeonbuk Motors at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Park Su-bin · Jeju United FC
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Kim Jin-Gyu · Off: Lee Yeong-jae
- 85′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Jeonbuk Motors 3–2 Jeju United FC
- 88′Rim Chang-Woo scores for Jeju United FC on 85′. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 88′GOAL DISALLOWED · 88' Jeju United FC
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Vinicius Rodrigues Adelino Dos Santos · Off: Italo Vargas
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Jeonbuk Motors 3–2 Jeju United FC
- 93′90′: Emerson Negueba on the scoresheet for Jeju United FC, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 98–2–0
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' Jeonbuk Motors · On: Bruno Mota · Off: Tiago Orobó
- 99′3–2 at the end. Our 47% on Jeonbuk Motors comes in. 3–2 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Jeonbuk Motors 3–2 Jeju United FC
- FTJeonbuk Motors 3–2 Jeju United FC · Jeonbuk Motors win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Jeonbuk Motors are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Jeonbuk Motors 47%, draw 28%, Jeju United FC 25%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Jeonbuk Motors win47%
Jeju United FC win25%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 32
VenueJeonju World Cup Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Jeonbuk MotorsMIN
Jeju United FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Jeonbuk Motors
4-3-3
Jeju United FC
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Jeonbuk Motors
Jeju United FC
Last match: 14 Oct · AFC Champions League Elite
Last match: 10 Oct · K League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Jeonbuk Motors
4-3-3
31 Song Bum-Keun
77 Kim Tae-Hyeon
5 Park Ji-Su
2 Kim Young-Bin
66 Choi Woo-Jin
28 Lee Yeong-Jae
16 J. Gamboa
13 Kang Sang-Yoon
7 Lee Dong-Jun
9 Tiago Orobo
95 Italo
Coach · Jung-Yong Chung
Substitutes
1 · Lee Ju-hyeon
24 · Lee Sang-myung
4 · Cho Wi-Je
97 · Kim Jin-Gyu
6 · Maeng Seong-Ung
30 · Dodo
99 · Bruno Mota
10 · Lee Seung-Woo
11 · Kim Seung-Sub
Jeju United FC
4-4-2
1 Kim Dong-Jun
17 Yu In-Soo
2 T. Figueiredo
3 J. Celestine
40 Kim Ryun-sung
94 Emerson Negueba
6 Kwon Gi-min
8 Lee Chang-Min
7 Park Chang-Jun
10 G. Lee
33 Park Su-bin
Coach · Sergio Costa
Substitutes
81 · J. Heo
23 · Rim Chang-Woo
41 · Kim Jae-Woo
13 · Jeong Woon
55 · Kang Dong-hwi
22 · E. Cinari
18 · Kim Shin-Jin
24 · Choi Byung-wook
47 · Park Min-jae
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Jeonbuk Motors
4-3-3
31 Song Bum-Keun
77 Kim Tae-Hyeon
5 Park Ji-Su
2 Kim Young-Bin
66 Choi Woo-Jin
28 Lee Yeong-Jae
16 J. Gamboa
13 Kang Sang-Yoon
7 Lee Dong-Jun
9 Tiago Orobo
95 Italo
Coach · Jung-Yong Chung
Substitutes
1 · Lee Ju-hyeon
24 · Lee Sang-myung
4 · Cho Wi-Je
97 · Kim Jin-Gyu
6 · Maeng Seong-Ung
30 · Dodo
99 · Bruno Mota
10 · Lee Seung-Woo
11 · Kim Seung-Sub
Jeju United FC
4-4-2
1 Kim Dong-Jun
17 Yu In-Soo
2 T. Figueiredo
3 J. Celestine
40 Kim Ryun-sung
94 Emerson Negueba
6 Kwon Gi-min
8 Lee Chang-Min
7 Park Chang-Jun
10 G. Lee
33 Park Su-bin
Coach · Sergio Costa
Substitutes
81 · J. Heo
23 · Rim Chang-Woo
41 · Kim Jae-Woo
13 · Jeong Woon
55 · Kang Dong-hwi
22 · E. Cinari
18 · Kim Shin-Jin
24 · Choi Byung-wook
47 · Park Min-jae
We make Jeonbuk Motors a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors win | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| Jeju United FC win | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 53% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 73% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 29% | −8 |
| Jeonbuk Motors or draw | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Jeonbuk Motors clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Jeju United FC clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in K League 1 this season · since 30 Aug
JEONBUK MOTORS
JEJU UNITED FC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 31 | +32 | 65 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 32 | +5 | 50 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 31 | +5 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 31 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 31 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 31 | +6 | 42 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 31 | −8 | 41 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 31 | −9 | 40 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 31 | −7 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 | −12 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 31 | −41 | 18 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Seoul
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
FC Anyang
Pohang Steelers
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Bucheon FC 1995
Gwangju FC