Gangwon FC v Incheon United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gangwon FC win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gangwon FC was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–31–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gangwon FC v Incheon United
4. 23′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–23–65
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Gangwon FC 0–1 Incheon United
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Gangwon FC win: 38% at kick-off, 12% now
7. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Incheon United win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Gangwon FC win 12%)
8. 24′Incheon United score on 23′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–65
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 11–23–66
10. 36′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
11. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Gangwon FC win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
12. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United
13. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Gangwon FC win: 38% at kick-off, 31% now
14. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Incheon United win 26%)
15. 44′Gangwon FC level it on 43′ through Kim Dae-won. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–44–26
16. 45′Gangwon FC level it on 42′ through Kim Dae-won. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–45–25
17. 45′SECOND HALF Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United
18. 48′HALF-TIME Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United
19. 55′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–51–23
20. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Incheon United · On: Gerso Fernandes · Off: Leandro Ribeiro
21. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Incheon United · On: Kim Seong-Min · Off: Morgan Ferrier
22. 60′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–21
23. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Gangwon FC · On: Kim Gun-hee · Off: Choe Byeong-chan
24. 69′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Gangwon FC · On: Lee You-hyeon · Off: Lee Seung-Won
26. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Gangwon FC win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
27. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Incheon United · On: Park Seung-ho · Off: Lee Chung-Yong
28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Incheon United · On: Seo Jae-min · Off: Lee Min-hyuk
29. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Gerso Fernandes · Incheon United
30. 80′11 shots for Gangwon FC, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 11–80–9
31. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Goh Young-jun · Gangwon FC
32. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Juan Ibiza · Incheon United
33. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Gangwon FC win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 85′Gangwon FC have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 6–88–6
35. 89′We said Gangwon FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
36. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Gangwon FC · On: Kang Joon-Hyuck · Off: Kim Gun-hee Corrected
37. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Gangwon FC · On: Park Sang-Hyeok · Off: Goh Young-jun
38. 94′Full time, 1–1. We called Gangwon FC at 38% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
39. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Gangwon FC · On: Kang Joon-Hyuck · Off: Abdelkarim Chaouche
40. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Gangwon FC · On: Kim Dong-hyeon · Off: Seo Min-woo
41. FTFULL TIME Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United
42. FTGangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United · Gangwon FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.