FC Seoul v Gimcheon Sangmu FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Seoul win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Seoul was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Seoul v Gimcheon Sangmu FC
4. 22′We published FC Seoul at 46%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–9
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' FC Seoul 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 23′A goal for FC Seoul on 22′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–9
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
9. 34′We published FC Seoul at 46%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
10. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
11. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' FC Seoul 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
13. 45′SECOND HALF FC Seoul 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
14. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Kim Jin-Su · FC Seoul
15. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gimcheon Sangmu FC · On: Min Kyeong-hyeon · Off: Hong Si-hoo
16. 47′45′: Lee Sang-heon on the scoresheet for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 36–41–24
17. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was FC Seoul win 36%)
18. 51′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
19. 51′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 77–18–5
20. 51′HALF-TIME FC Seoul 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
21. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 45+6' Yoon Jae-Seok · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
22. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' FC Seoul 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
23. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 77% now
24. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' FC Seoul win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 18%)
25. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Son Jeong-Beom · FC Seoul
26. 54′FC Seoul ahead on 52′ through Patryk Klimala. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–18–4
27. 60′We published FC Seoul at 46%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
28. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Gimcheon Sangmu FC · On: Kim In-gyun · Off: Yoon Jae-Seok
29. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Gimcheon Sangmu FC · On: Park Min-Seo · Off: Park Jin-Seong
30. 67′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–57–18
31. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' FC Seoul 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
32. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 25% now
33. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was FC Seoul win 25%)
34. 68′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 25–58–17
35. 68′Kim In-gyun scores for Gimcheon Sangmu FC on 67′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 25–58–17
36. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Juan Antonio Ros Martínez · FC Seoul
37. 69′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–59–17
38. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FC Seoul · On: Hwang Do-yoon · Off: Son Jeong-Beom
39. 75′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–68–13
40. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
41. 80′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
42. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Min Kyeong-hyeon · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
43. 84′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
44. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC Seoul · On: Cho Young-wook · Off: Moon Seon-min
45. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' FC Seoul win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
46. 91′We said FC Seoul at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
47. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Gimcheon Sangmu FC · On: Roh Kyung-Ho · Off: Kang Min-geu
48. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Gimcheon Sangmu FC · On: Jung Jae-min · Off: Lee Sang-heon
49. 96′Full time, 2–2. We called FC Seoul at 46% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
50. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Hwang Do-yoon · FC Seoul
51. FTFULL TIME FC Seoul 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
52. FTFC Seoul 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC · FC Seoul win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.