FC Seoul v Gangwon FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Seoul win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Seoul was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–28–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Seoul v Gangwon FC
4. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Gangwon FC
5. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Leonardo Ruiz · FC Seoul
6. 44′7 shots for Gangwon FC, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 36–41–24
7. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was FC Seoul win 38%)
8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
9. 45′SECOND HALF FC Seoul 0–0 Gangwon FC
10. 46′Gangwon FC have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 35–42–23
11. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gangwon FC · On: Kim Gun-hee · Off: Mo Jae-hyeon
12. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Seoul · On: Hwang Do-yoon · Off: Son Jeong-Beom
13. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Seoul · On: Lee Han-do · Off: Lee Sang-min
14. 49′HALF-TIME FC Seoul 0–0 Gangwon FC
15. 49′PENALTY MISSED · 45+4' Kim Dae-won · Gangwon FC
16. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Seoul · On: Moon Seon-min · Off: Leonardo Ruiz
17. 51′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–45–22
18. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–47–21
19. 58′We published FC Seoul at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
20. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' FC Seoul 1–0 Gangwon FC
21. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 80% now
22. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' FC Seoul win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 50%)
23. 60′59′: Moon Seon-min on the scoresheet for FC Seoul, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–17–3
24. 61′58′: Moon Seon-min on the scoresheet for FC Seoul, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–3
25. 64′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–55–18
26. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' FC Seoul 1–1 Gangwon FC
27. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 26% now
28. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was FC Seoul win 82%)
29. 65′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 26–56–18
30. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Gangwon FC · On: Park Sang-Hyeok · Off: Goh Young-jun
31. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
32. 67′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–17
33. 68′Gangwon FC level it on 64′ through Kang Joon-Hyuck. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–59–17
34. 75′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–69–13
35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Gangwon FC · On: Lee Eun-ho · Off: Choe Byeong-chan
36. 77′13 shots for Gangwon FC, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 16–72–12
37. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
38. 79′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–10
39. 84′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
40. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' FC Seoul win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
41. 91′We said FC Seoul at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
42. 95′Full time, 1–1. We called FC Seoul at 45% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
43. FTFULL TIME FC Seoul 1–1 Gangwon FC
44. FTFC Seoul 1–1 Gangwon FC · FC Seoul win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.