Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Daejeon Citizen win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Daejeon Citizen was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC
4. 2′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–24–48
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Gwangju FC
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 29% now
7. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Gwangju FC win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Daejeon Citizen win 29%)
8. 3′Gwangju FC find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 29–24–48
9. 17′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–50
10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
11. 27′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–14–79
12. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gwangju FC
13. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 7% now
14. 30′John Iredale scores for Gwangju FC on 28′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 7–13–80
15. 30′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Daejeon Citizen · On: Diogo Oliveira · Off: Masatoshi Ishida
16. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Yu Je-Ho · Gwangju FC
17. 41′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
18. 45′John Iredale scores for Gwangju FC on 28′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–11–85
19. 45′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
20. 45′SECOND HALF Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gwangju FC
21. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
22. 48′HALF-TIME Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gwangju FC
23. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gwangju FC · On: Ri Yong-jik · Off: Yu Je-Ho
24. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Daejeon Citizen · On: Seo Jin-Su · Off: Um Won-Sang
25. 53′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 2–9–89
26. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Ri Yong-jik · Gwangju FC
27. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Gwangju FC · On: Moon Min-Seo · Off: Ha Seung-un
28. 74′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 3–19–78
29. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Daejeon Citizen 1–2 Gwangju FC
30. 76′74′: Seo Jin-Su on the scoresheet for Daejeon Citizen, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–80
31. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Gwangju FC · On: Park Won-Jae · Off: John Iredale
32. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Gwangju FC · On: Ahn Young-Kyu · Off: Min Sang-gi
33. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Gwangju FC · On: Kim Jong-Suk · Off: Lee Min-Ki
34. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Kim Dong-Hwa · Gwangju FC
35. 78′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–72–10
36. 78′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–72–10
37. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Gwangju FC
38. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 18% now
39. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Gwangju FC win 10%)
40. 80′Daejeon Citizen level it on 78′ through Diogo Oliveira. 2–2. 2–2 · 16–75–9
41. 81′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–77–8
42. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
43. 85′We said Daejeon Citizen at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
44. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Daejeon Citizen · On: Jeong Jae-hee · Off: Joo Min-Kyu
45. 92′Daejeon Citizen have had 14 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 4–94–2
46. 93′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–3–97
47. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
48. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Daejeon Citizen 2–3 Gwangju FC
49. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Gwangju FC win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
50. 96′Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua scores for Gwangju FC on 90′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–2–98
51. 98′We published Daejeon Citizen at 53%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–2 · 99–1–0
52. 98′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+8' Gwangju FC
53. 98′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+8' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Gwangju FC win 1%)
54. 98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Daejeon Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC
55. 98′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+8' Daejeon Citizen win: 53% at kick-off, 99% now
56. 98′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+8' Daejeon Citizen win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
57. FTFULL TIME Daejeon Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC
58. FTDaejeon Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC · Daejeon Citizen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.