Stellenbosch v Chippa United prediction · Premier Soccer League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

StellenboschDrawChippa United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Stellenbosch 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stellenbosch are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stellenbosch 52%, draw 30%, Chippa United 18%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Stellenbosch v Chippa UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Stellenbosch win52%

Draw30%

Chippa United win18%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueDanie Craven Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stellenbosch

Chippa United

17Days since last match6

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

Last match: 24 Oct · League Cup (South Africa)

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Stellenbosch	8	+1	10
9	Chippa United	8	−3	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stellenbosch winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Stellenbosch a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stellenbosch v Chippa United~~1.36 – 0.68

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 14 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~7 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stellenbosch win	52%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Chippa United win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Stellenbosch or draw	82%	–	–
Stellenbosch clean sheet	51%	–	–
Chippa United clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 14.2 8.0 3.1 1 16.6 12.8 4.1 2 11.8 8.0 2.7 3 5.4 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stellenbosch down, Chippa United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,276 Premier Soccer League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.4% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stellenbosch at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Chippa United away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Stellenbosch, 0.68 for Chippa United. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~STE 2–1 CHI · CHI 0–0 STE · STE 1–0 CHI · CHI 0–2 STE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 14 Aug

STELLENBOSCH

WLDDWD3–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

CHIPPA UNITED

LDDDWL0–3 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	9	+15	23
2	Orlando Pirates	8	+18	22
3	Amazulu	8	+4	19
4	Milford FC	9	+3	15
5	Kaizer Chiefs	8	+5	14
6	Sekhukhune United	8	+1	14
7	Stellenbosch	8	+1	10
8	Golden Arrows	8	−1	8
9	Chippa United	8	−3	8
10	Durban City	8	−2	7
11	Polokwane City	8	−3	7
12	Kruger United	8	−8	7
13	TS Galaxy	8	−5	6
14	Siwelele	8	−6	6
15	Richards Bay	8	−10	3
16	Marumo Gallants	8	−9	2