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Siwelele v Polokwane City
Siwelele
Polokwane CityPremier Soccer League · SUN 18 OCT · Free State Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: the draw 36% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 35–37–28
- 2′KICK-OFF Siwelele v Polokwane City
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Siwelele
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 46% now
- 37′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 48%. 0–0 · 29–48–24
- 41′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 28–50–23
- 45′Siwelele have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 26–52–22
- 45′HALF-TIME Siwelele 0–0 Polokwane City
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Tlou Nkwe · Polokwane City
- 46′SECOND HALF Siwelele 0–0 Polokwane City
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Polokwane City · On: G. Philander · Off: Keorapetse Sebone
- 50′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 25–55–21
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 56% now
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Polokwane City · On: Lucky Mahlatse Malatsi · Off: Juan Adrian Mutudza
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Polokwane City · On: Monty Batlhabane · Off: Tshepang Matube
- 57′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 60%. 0–0 · 22–60–18
- 63′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Thato Reabetswe Letshedi · Siwelele
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
- 68′8 shots for Siwelele, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–69–14
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Siwelele · On: Matthew Marou · Off: Christian Saile Basomboli
- 70′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–0 · 15–71–13
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Siwelele · On: Shadrack·Kobedi · Off: relebogile mokhuoane
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Siwelele · On: R. Selaelo · Off: Thato Reabetswe Letshedi
- 73′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–0 · 14–75–12
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Bonginkosi dlamini · Polokwane City
- 77′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–0 · 11–80–9
- 81′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–0 · 8–85–7
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 87% now
- 84′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–0 · 6–90–5
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Siwelele · On: Michel N'Guessan · Off: Sphesihle Jeza
- 90′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–0 · 98–2–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Siwelele 1–0 Polokwane City
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Siwelele win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 91′90′: Michel N'Guessan on the scoresheet for Siwelele, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–0
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Siwelele · On: N. Ngcobo · Off: R. Selaelo
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' N. Ngcobo · Siwelele
- FTFULL TIME Siwelele 1–0 Polokwane City
- FTSiwelele 1–0 Polokwane City · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Siwelele 35%, draw 36%, Polokwane City 28%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 33%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Siwelele win35%
Polokwane City win28%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueFree State Stadium
Match timeline
All events
SiweleleMIN
Polokwane CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Siwelele
4-4-2
Polokwane City
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Siwelele
Polokwane City
Last match: 13 Sept · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)
Last match: 19 Sept · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Siwelele
4-4-2
1 J. February
2 Y. Mfolozi
4 T. Sesane
33 S. Ndebele
29 A. Baliti
17 S. Jeza
8 R. Mokhuoane
36 T. R. Letshedi
16 T. Potsane
12 M. Mazibuko
11 C. Saile
Coach · Lehlohonolo Seema
Substitutes
50 · W. Mthombeni
5 · K. Khonyane
80 · N. Ngcobo
26 · S. Kobedi
6 · S. Rasebotja
47 · M. Marou
22 · K. Lupalule
70 · J. Clifford
28 · M. N'Guessan
Polokwane City
4-4-2
50 O. Masuluke
42 S. Manthosi
22 E. Ramaja
34 L. Nkaki
3 T. Nkwe
25 K. Sebone
21 M. Kambala
46 T. Matube
17 B. Dlamini
44 T. Molokwane
36 J. Mutudza
Coach · Willy Moloto
Substitutes
40 · L. Mathebula
27 · M. Modise
4 · B. Nikani
6 · S. Kelepu
48 · A. Mashele
47 · M. M. Batlhabane
18 · G. Philander
20 · R. Daniels
28 · L. Mahlatsi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Siwelele
4-4-2
1 J. February
2 Y. Mfolozi
4 T. Sesane
33 S. Ndebele
29 A. Baliti
17 S. Jeza
8 R. Mokhuoane
36 T. R. Letshedi
16 T. Potsane
12 M. Mazibuko
11 C. Saile
Coach · Lehlohonolo Seema
Substitutes
50 · W. Mthombeni
5 · K. Khonyane
80 · N. Ngcobo
26 · S. Kobedi
6 · S. Rasebotja
47 · M. Marou
22 · K. Lupalule
70 · J. Clifford
28 · M. N'Guessan
Polokwane City
4-4-2
50 O. Masuluke
42 S. Manthosi
22 E. Ramaja
34 L. Nkaki
3 T. Nkwe
25 K. Sebone
21 M. Kambala
46 T. Matube
17 B. Dlamini
44 T. Molokwane
36 J. Mutudza
Coach · Willy Moloto
Substitutes
40 · L. Mathebula
27 · M. Modise
4 · B. Nikani
6 · S. Kelepu
48 · A. Mashele
47 · M. M. Batlhabane
18 · G. Philander
20 · R. Daniels
28 · L. Mahlatsi
We make the draw a 36% chance. The market has it at 32%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siwelele win | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Draw | 36% | 32% | +4 |
| Polokwane City win | 28% | 29% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% | 35% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 33% | 43% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51% | 61% | −10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 9% | 17% | −8 |
| Siwelele or draw | 72% | 71% | +1 |
| Siwelele clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Polokwane City clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 11 Aug
SIWELELE
POLOKWANE CITY
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | −3 | 8 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 7 | −2 | 7 |
| 11 | Durban City | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 12 | Kruger United | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 7 | −7 | 3 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | −10 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 8 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
Amazulu
Milford FC
Kaizer Chiefs
Sekhukhune United
Stellenbosch
Golden Arrows
Chippa United
Durban City
Kruger United
TS Galaxy
Richards Bay
Marumo Gallants