Sekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sekhukhune United win at 54%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Sekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Sekhukhune United 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–29–17
4. 30′We said Sekhukhune United at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
5. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Sekhukhune United 1–0 Marumo Gallants
6. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 83% now
7. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–4
8. 31′Sekhukhune United find the net on 30′. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–13–4
9. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
10. 45′SECOND HALF Sekhukhune United 1–0 Marumo Gallants
11. 47′HALF-TIME Sekhukhune United 1–0 Marumo Gallants
12. 49′We said Sekhukhune United at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
13. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Sekhukhune United · On: Siphelele Sangweni · Off: Ngoanamello Rammala
14. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Sekhukhune United · On: Sizani Makgalaka · Off: Oageng Phiri
15. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Thatho Pheeha · Marumo Gallants
16. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Marumo Gallants · On: Katlego Otladisa · Off: Saketso Steven Moremi
17. 71′We said Sekhukhune United at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
18. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Marumo Gallants · On: Etemesi Injili · Off: Samkele Sihlali
19. 78′We said Sekhukhune United at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–1 · 16–76–7
20. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Sekhukhune United 1–1 Marumo Gallants
21. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 16% now
22. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Sekhukhune United win 16%)
23. 80′We said Sekhukhune United at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–80–6
24. 80′An own goal by Sekhukhune United's melusi buthelezi on 78′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 14–80–6
25. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
26. 84′We said Sekhukhune United at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
27. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Sekhukhune United · On: Thabang Makubo · Off: Tshepo Mokoane
28. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Sekhukhune United · On: Bethuel Muzeu · Off: Chibuike·Ohizu Corrected
29. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Sekhukhune United · On: Bethuel Muzeu · Off: Chibuike·Ohizu
30. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Marumo Gallants · On: Simo Bright Mbhele · Off: Thatho Pheeha
31. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Marumo Gallants · On: Onke Moletshe · Off: Sibusiso Ncube
32. 91′We said Sekhukhune United at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
33. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
34. 92′We said Sekhukhune United at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–1 · 98–1–0
35. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Sekhukhune United 2–1 Marumo Gallants
36. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Sekhukhune United win: 54% at kick-off, 98% now
37. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Sekhukhune United win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 1%)
38. 93′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
39. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sekhukhune United · On: D'Angelo Shaheed Kazeem · Off: Athenkosi mcaba
40. 94′90′: Bethuel Muzeu on the scoresheet for Sekhukhune United, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
41. 95′2–1 at the end. Our 54% on Sekhukhune United comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
42. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Thabang Makubo · Sekhukhune United
43. FTFULL TIME Sekhukhune United 2–1 Marumo Gallants
44. FTSekhukhune United 2–1 Marumo Gallants · Sekhukhune United win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.