Polokwane City v TS Galaxy prediction · Premier Soccer League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Polokwane CityDrawTS Galaxy

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Polokwane City 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Polokwane City just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Polokwane City 37%, draw 35%, TS Galaxy 28%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Polokwane City v TS GalaxyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Polokwane City win37%

Draw35%

TS Galaxy win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueOld Peter Mokaba Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polokwane City

TS Galaxy

7Days since last match18

Last match: 24 Oct · League Cup (South Africa)

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Polokwane City	8	−3	7
13	TS Galaxy	8	−5	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · polokwane city winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Polokwane City a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Polokwane City v TS Galaxy~~0.98 – 0.79

~~Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 15 Aug~~W0 D3 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~11 v 13

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Polokwane City win	37%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
TS Galaxy win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Polokwane City or draw	72%	–	–
Polokwane City clean sheet	45%	–	–
TS Galaxy clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.3%

0123450 18.3 12.5 5.4 1 15.5 14.0 5.2 2 8.1 6.3 2.5 3 2.7 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Polokwane City down, TS Galaxy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,276 Premier Soccer League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.4% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Polokwane City at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). TS Galaxy away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Polokwane City, 0.79 for TS Galaxy. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~TSG 1–2 POL · POL 0–0 TSG · TSG 0–0 POL · POL 1–1 TSG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Soccer League this season · since 15 Aug

POLOKWANE CITY

LDDDLL0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

TS GALAXY

DWDLLL0–0 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	9	+15	23
2	Orlando Pirates	8	+18	22
3	Amazulu	8	+4	19
4	Milford FC	9	+3	15
5	Kaizer Chiefs	8	+5	14
6	Sekhukhune United	8	+1	14
7	Stellenbosch	8	+1	10
8	Golden Arrows	8	−1	8
9	Chippa United	8	−3	8
10	Durban City	8	−2	7
11	Polokwane City	8	−3	7
12	Kruger United	8	−8	7
13	TS Galaxy	8	−5	6
14	Siwelele	8	−6	6
15	Richards Bay	8	−10	3
16	Marumo Gallants	8	−9	2