Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kaizer Chiefs win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kaizer Chiefs was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kaizer Chiefs v Stellenbosch
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Thabo Moloisane · Kaizer Chiefs
5. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Kaizer Chiefs win 35%)
6. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' sibongiseni mthethwa · Kaizer Chiefs
7. 45′SECOND HALF Kaizer Chiefs 0–0 Stellenbosch
8. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Kaizer Chiefs 0–1 Stellenbosch
9. 47′⚽ GOAL · 48' Kaizer Chiefs 0–1 Stellenbosch · Sinoxolo Kwayiba
10. 48′48′ and it is 0–1: Sinoxolo Kwayiba on the scoresheet for Stellenbosch. 0–1 · 7–23–70
11. 48′We said Kaizer Chiefs at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–1 · 7–23–70
12. 48′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 7–23–70
13. 48′Kaizer Chiefs ahead on 58′ through Mduduzi Shabalala. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–23–70
14. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Kaizer Chiefs win: 40% at kick-off, 7% now
15. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Stellenbosch win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 23%)
16. 48′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kaizer Chiefs 0–1 Stellenbosch · Mduduzi Shabalala
17. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Luthando Vena · Stellenbosch
18. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Stellenbosch · On: Raoul Daniels · Off: Ashley Du Preez
19. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Stellenbosch · On: Adeyanju Kazeem Lateef · Off: Quwan Christiano Plaatjies
20. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Stellenbosch · On: Bradley Grobler · Off: Sinoxolo Kwayiba
21. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Kaizer Chiefs · On: Flávio Silva · Off: Mduduzi Shabalala
22. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Kaizer Chiefs · On: Ethan Chislett · Off: W. Duba
23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Kaizer Chiefs 1–1 Stellenbosch · Mduduzi Shabalala
24. 73′We said Kaizer Chiefs at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–1 · 16–71–12
25. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Njabulo Blom · Stellenbosch
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kaizer Chiefs win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
27. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Stellenbosch win 12%)
28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Stellenbosch · On: Keanan Johannesen · Off: Siviwe nkwali
29. 76′We said Kaizer Chiefs at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kaizer Chiefs · On: T. Mabaso · Off: Thabiso Monyane
31. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kaizer Chiefs · On: T. Mabaso · Off: Thabiso Monyane
32. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Kaizer Chiefs win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
33. 83′Kaizer Chiefs have had 10.0 attempts to 5.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 8–86–6
34. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Kaizer Chiefs · On: Kabelo Linda Nkgwesa · Off: Paseka Mako
35. 90′We said Kaizer Chiefs at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
36. 90′Kaizer Chiefs have had 12.0 attempts to 5.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 4–94–3
37. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Terrence Mashego · Stellenbosch
38. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kaizer Chiefs 2–1 Stellenbosch · Mduduzi Shabalala
39. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Stellenbosch · On: Gopolang Taunyana · Off: Spiwe Msimango
40. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 94' T. Lebitso · Stellenbosch
41. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 95' Inacio Miguel Ferreira Santos · Kaizer Chiefs
42. FTFULL TIME Kaizer Chiefs 1–1 Stellenbosch
43. FTKaizer Chiefs 1–1 Stellenbosch · Kaizer Chiefs win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.