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Polokwane City v Siwelele

Polokwane City
0–0After penalties
Siwelele

League Cup · SAT 24 OCT · Old Peter Mokaba Stadium

After 90 minutesGraded 24 Oct 20:17
Polokwane City 0–0 Siwelele POLOKWANE CITY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Polokwane City win38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.621

Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. Siwelele won 3–4 on penalties.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Polokwane City win at 38%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Polokwane City 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–36–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Polokwane City v Siwelele
  4. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Polokwane City win 38%)
  5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Polokwane City win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Polokwane City 0–0 Siwelele
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Polokwane City 0–0 Siwelele
  8. 50′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 26–55–19
  9. 55′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–17
  10. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Siwelele · On: M. N'Guessan · Off: C. Saile
  11. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Polokwane City · On: R. Daniels · Off: G. Philander
  12. 65′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–14
  13. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Polokwane City win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
  14. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Siwelele
  15. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Polokwane City · On: K. Sebone · Off: R. Daniels
  16. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Polokwane City
  17. 73′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
  18. 80′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
  19. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Siwelele · On: B. Thulo · Off: S. Jeza
  20. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Polokwane City win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
  21. 87′We said Polokwane City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
  22. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 62%. 0–0 · 22–62–16
  23. 97′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 68%. 0–0 · 18–68–13
  24. 103′SUBSTITUTION · 99' Siwelele · On: F. Noge · Off: T. Potsane
  25. 103′SUBSTITUTION · 100' Polokwane City · On: B. Nikani · Off: E. Ramaja
  26. 107′🟨 YELLOW · 107' Polokwane City
  27. 111′🟨 YELLOW · 111' Siwelele
  28. 117′SUBSTITUTION · 116' Siwelele · On: M. Marou · Off: M. Mazibuko
  29. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
  30. 123′SUBSTITUTION · 119' Polokwane City · On: N. Maphangule · Off: B. Dlamini
  31. FTFULL TIME Polokwane City 0–0 Siwelele
  32. FTPolokwane City 0–0 Siwelele after 90 minutes, as graded · Polokwane City win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Polokwane City just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Polokwane City 38%, draw 36%, Siwelele 25%. Over 2.5 goals 23%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Polokwane City v SiweleleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Polokwane City win38%
Draw36%
Siwelele win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueOld Peter Mokaba Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polokwane City

Siwelele

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · polokwane city winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Polokwane City a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Polokwane City v Siwelele0.95 – 0.72

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Polokwane City win38%––
Draw36%––
Siwelele win25%––
Over 2.5 goals23%––
Both teams to score32%––
Over 1.5 goals50%––
Over 3.5 goals9%––
Polokwane City or draw75%––
Polokwane City clean sheet49%––
Siwelele clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 20.1%
0123450 20.1 12.5 4.9 1 16.9 13.6 4.5 2 8.5 6.0 2.2 3 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Polokwane City down, Siwelele across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting0.67
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsSIW 1–0 POL · POL 0–0 SIW · SIW 0–1 POL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League Cup this season

POLOKWANE CITY

No matches in our record yet.

SIWELELE

No matches in our record yet.