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Model 1.2

Home › Football › League Cup › Mamelodi Sundowns v Marumo Gallants

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Mamelodi Sundowns v Marumo Gallants

Mamelodi Sundowns
17:00Upcoming
Marumo Gallants

League Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mamelodi SundownsDrawMarumo Gallants
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Mamelodi Sundowns 80%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mamelodi Sundowns are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mamelodi Sundowns 80%, draw 14%, Marumo Gallants 5%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Mamelodi Sundowns v Marumo GallantsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Mamelodi Sundowns win80%
Draw14%
Marumo Gallants win5%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueLucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mamelodi Sundowns

Marumo Gallants

4Days since last match10

Last match: 23 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mamelodi sundowns winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off
80% The market–
Us80%

We make Mamelodi Sundowns an 80% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.5, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mamelodi Sundowns v Marumo Gallants2.62 – 0.54

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mamelodi Sundowns win80%––
Draw14%––
Marumo Gallants win5%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw95%––
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet58%––
Marumo Gallants clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.3%
0123450 5.1 1 10.8 6.6 2 14.3 7.7 2.1 3 12.3 6.6 4 8.1 4.3 5 4.4 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Mamelodi Sundowns down, Marumo Gallants across0–5 goals a side shown (94.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.60
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsMAM 2–0 MAR · MAM 3–1 MAR · MAM 0–0 MAR · MAR 1–1 MAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League Cup this season

MAMELODI SUNDOWNS

No matches in our record yet.

MARUMO GALLANTS

No matches in our record yet.