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Model 1.2

Home › Football › League Cup › Durban City v Stellenbosch

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Durban City v Stellenbosch

Durban City
17:00Upcoming
Stellenbosch

League Cup · WED 28 OCT · Chatsworth Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Durban CityDrawStellenbosch
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Durban City 31%, draw 35%, Stellenbosch 34%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Durban City v StellenboschBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Durban City win31%
Draw35%
Stellenbosch win34%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueChatsworth Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Durban City

Stellenbosch

10Days since last match15

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
35% The market–
Us35%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Durban City v Stellenbosch0.87 – 0.92

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Durban City win31%––
Draw35%––
Stellenbosch win34%––
Over 2.5 goals27%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals54%––
Over 3.5 goals11%––
Durban City or draw66%––
Durban City clean sheet40%––
Stellenbosch clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.0%
0123450 18.0 14.2 7.0 2.2 1 13.6 14.1 6.0 2 6.4 5.7 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Durban City down, Stellenbosch across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting0.00
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsDUR 0–0 STE · DUR 0–0 STE · STE 0–0 DUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League Cup this season

DURBAN CITY

No matches in our record yet.

STELLENBOSCH

No matches in our record yet.