Stellenbosch U23 v Siwelele U23 prediction · Diski Challenge

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 11:34

Stellenbosch U23 0–0 Siwelele U23 STELLENBOSCH U23 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stellenbosch U23 win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.909

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Stellenbosch U23 win at 48%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Stellenbosch U23 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–29
1′KICK-OFF Stellenbosch U23 v Siwelele U23
45′HALF-TIME Stellenbosch U23 0–0 Siwelele U23
46′SECOND HALF Stellenbosch U23 0–0 Siwelele U23
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Stellenbosch U23 win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
52′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–39–25
54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Stellenbosch U23 win 35%)
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 35–41–24
56′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
65′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Stellenbosch U23 win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
72′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–17
77′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Stellenbosch U23 win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
82′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–77–10
86′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Stellenbosch U23 win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
92′We said Stellenbosch U23 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
FTFULL TIME Stellenbosch U23 0–0 Siwelele U23
FTStellenbosch U23 0–0 Siwelele U23 · Stellenbosch U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stellenbosch U23 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stellenbosch U23 48%, draw 23%, Siwelele U23 29%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Stellenbosch U23 v Siwelele U23Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Stellenbosch U23 win48%

Draw23%

Siwelele U23 win29%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stellenbosch U23

Siwelele U23

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Diski Challenge

Last match: 10 Oct · Diski Challenge

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Siwelele U23	3	+2	6
13	Stellenbosch U23	3	−3	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stellenbosch u23 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Stellenbosch U23 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stellenbosch U23 v Siwelele U23~~1.81 – 1.36

~~Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 6~~13 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stellenbosch U23 win	48%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Siwelele U23 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Stellenbosch U23 or draw	71%	–	–
Stellenbosch U23 clean sheet	26%	–	–
Siwelele U23 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.5 5.8 3.9 1 7.6 10.3 6.9 3.2 2 6.9 9.1 6.2 2.8 3 4.1 5.5 3.7 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stellenbosch U23 down, Siwelele U23 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,287 Diski Challenge matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Diski Challenge matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stellenbosch U23 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Siwelele U23 away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Stellenbosch U23, 1.36 for Siwelele U23. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~STE 3–2 SIW · SIW 3–0 STE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 Sept

STELLENBOSCH U23

LLW1–2 · 1–4 · 2–1

SIWELELE U23

LWW0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaizer Chiefs U23	4	+8	12
2	Sekhukhune United U23	4	+6	10
3	Golden Arrows U23	4	+7	9
4	AmaZulu U23	4	+3	7
5	TS Galaxy U23	3	+2	7
6	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	3	+3	6
7	Siwelele U23	3	+2	6
8	Marumo Gallants U23	4	−4	4
9	Orlando Pirates U23	3	+1	3
10	Polokwane City U23	4	−2	3
11	Milford FC U23	3	−2	3
12	Richards Bay U23	4	−2	3
13	Stellenbosch U23	3	−3	3
14	Kruger United U23	3	−3	3
15	Chippa United U23	4	−11	3
16	Durban City U23	3	−5	0