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Stellenbosch U23 v Polokwane City U23

Stellenbosch U23

2–1Full time

Polokwane City U23

Diski Challenge · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 11:42

Stellenbosch U23 2–1 Polokwane City U23 STELLENBOSCH U23 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stellenbosch U23 win~~72%

~~The market said~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.118

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.192

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Stellenbosch U23 win at 72%.
1′Much as we predicted: Stellenbosch U23 was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 73% now. 0–0 · 73–17–11
2′Much as we predicted: Stellenbosch U23 was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 72% now. 0–0 · 72–17–11
30′We published Stellenbosch U23 at 72%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–0 · 88–9–3
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Stellenbosch U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 65% now
45′HALF-TIME Stellenbosch U23 1–0 Polokwane City U23
46′SECOND HALF Stellenbosch U23 1–0 Polokwane City U23
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Stellenbosch U23 1–1 Polokwane City U23
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Stellenbosch U23 2–1 Polokwane City U23
FTFULL TIME Stellenbosch U23 2–1 Polokwane City U23
FTStellenbosch U23 2–1 Polokwane City U23 · Stellenbosch U23 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Stellenbosch U23 win72%

Draw17%

Polokwane City U23 win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Stellenbosch U23

Polokwane City U23

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Polokwane City U23	2	−2	0
16	Stellenbosch U23	2	−4	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stellenbosch u23 winPublished 11 Oct 09:04

72% The market64%

Us72%

~~Market~~64%

We make Stellenbosch U23 a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · stellenbosch u23 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stellenbosch U23 win	72%	64%	+8
Draw	17%	21%	−4
Polokwane City U23 win	11%	14%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	61%	56%	+5
Both teams to score	49%	50%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	82%	78%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	39%	35%	+4
Stellenbosch U23 or draw	89%	86%	+3
Stellenbosch U23 clean sheet	46%	–	–
Polokwane City U23 clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.8%

0123450 4.5 3.3 1 10.0 8.0 3.1 2 11.8 9.2 3.7 3 9.3 7.2 2.9 4 5.6 4.3 5 2.7 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Stellenbosch U23 down, Polokwane City U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,279 Diski Challenge matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Diski Challenge matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stellenbosch U23 at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Polokwane City U23 away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Stellenbosch U23, 0.79 for Polokwane City U23. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~POL 0–1 STE · STE 3–0 POL · POL 0–1 STE · STE 1–0 POL

Form · last six in Diski Challenge

STELLENBOSCH U23

LWWWLL1–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–4

POLOKWANE CITY U23

LLLLLL1–3 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaizer Chiefs U23	3	+4	9
2	AmaZulu U23	3	+4	7
3	TS Galaxy U23	3	+2	7
4	Golden Arrows U23	3	+6	6
5	Siwelele U23	3	+2	6
6	Sekhukhune United U23	2	+1	4
7	Orlando Pirates U23	3	+1	3
8	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2	0	3
9	Kruger United U23	2	0	3
10	Milford FC U23	2	0	3
11	Richards Bay U23	3	−1	3
12	Chippa United U23	3	−8	3
13	Marumo Gallants U23	2	−2	1
14	Polokwane City U23	2	−2	0
15	Durban City U23	2	−3	0
16	Stellenbosch U23	2	−4	0